Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Dortmund eSports vs RIZON (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b778845721588d09b3c7b961d46d8e34b8dbc4c47a1dbbafdff4ca2357d3285
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dortmund eSportsof Dortmund eSports, RIZON
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked RIZON | 51c | 3,213$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.15 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked RIZON | 63c | 1,837$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.34 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed RIZON | 63c | 1,697$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.09 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked RIZON | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569d…1d18backed Dortmund eSports | 41c | 1,500$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed RIZON | 37c | 1,349$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.6 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…c211backed RIZON | 1c | 1,009$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad6c…586bbacked Dortmund eSports | 40c | 904.29$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dortmund eSports | 64c | 892.72$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.02 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed RIZON | 19c | 700.01$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.14 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Dortmund eSports | 36c | 580.69$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.35 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Dortmund eSports | 37c | 521.51$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.55 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dortmund eSports | 21c | 507.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.38 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked RIZON | 23c | 391.72$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.03 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked RIZON | 61c | 343.28$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.4 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Dortmund eSports | 41c | 332$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.19 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…bf20backed Dortmund eSports | 37c | 325.07$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed RIZON | 16c | 266$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Dortmund eSports | 41c | 253.74$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.78 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked RIZON | 59c | 218.55$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.79 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Dortmund eSports | 55c | 207.92$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked RIZON | 46c | 181.65$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked RIZON | 12c | 160$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked RIZON | 73c | 152.8$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked RIZON | 44c | 142.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Dortmund eSports | 45c | 142.18$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.69 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed RIZON | 31c | 136.68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Dortmund eSports | 37c | 128$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Dortmund eSports | 19c | 115.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed RIZON | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Dortmund eSports | 17c | 99.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.72 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Dortmund eSports | 43c | 94.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Dortmund eSports | 36c | 88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed RIZON | 49c | 86.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b8…e10abacked RIZON | 64c | 86.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb355…0994backed RIZON | 27c | 83.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…613bbacked Dortmund eSports | 37c | 76.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed RIZON | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked RIZON | 33c | 71.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2049…71cebacked Dortmund eSports | 37c | 69.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed RIZON | 59c | 66.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked RIZON | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed RIZON | 19c | 58.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Dortmund eSports | 31c | 55.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Dortmund eSports | 76c | 54.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x405a…abe1backed Dortmund eSports | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dortmund eSports | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Dortmund eSports | 54c | 42.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked RIZON | 57c | 40.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Dortmund eSports | 38c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e50…2e8ebacked RIZON | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Dortmund eSports | 46c | 31.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Dortmund eSports | 76c | 23.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed RIZON | 73c | 21.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…e36cbacked Dortmund eSports | 76c | 18.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Dortmund eSports vs RIZON (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: Dortmund eSports vs RIZON - Map 1 WinnerRIZON won
- Valorant: Dortmund eSports vs RIZON - Map 2 WinnerDortmund eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.