Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
California-San Diego Tritons vs. UC Davis Aggies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b7dc9dc044e838f149293773617a5fa9fb5e1cfcc4b3caee2d3711002031742
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- California-San Diego Tritonsof California-San Diego Tritons, UC Davis Aggies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UC Davis Aggies | 45c | 3,492$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.92 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 55c | 3,459$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.6 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed UC Davis Aggies | 44c | 2,417$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.68 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UC Davis Aggies | 51c | 2,067$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.6 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed UC Davis Aggies | 46c | 1,941$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.51 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked California-San Diego Tritons | 56c | 1,816$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.04 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked California-San Diego Tritons | 36c | 1,408$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.05 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed California-San Diego Tritons | 56c | 1,277$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.26 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 56c | 1,077$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.91 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 56c | 1,056$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.31 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed California-San Diego Tritons | 55c | 965.08$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.86 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked UC Davis Aggies | 36c | 781.83$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.16 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed California-San Diego Tritons | 54c | 693.57$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.44 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed California-San Diego Tritons | 71c | 682.2$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.33 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed UC Davis Aggies | 38c | 580$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.06 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed UC Davis Aggies | 44c | 484$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.96 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed UC Davis Aggies | 39c | 477$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.86 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed UC Davis Aggies | 46c | 423.64$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.85 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed California-San Diego Tritons | 55c | 381.82$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.82 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed California-San Diego Tritons | 59c | 364.17$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.52 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed UC Davis Aggies | 45c | 273.55$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.1 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 56c | 251.43$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.43 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UC Davis Aggies | 15c | 243$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked UC Davis Aggies | 43c | 216.82$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked UC Davis Aggies | 47c | 213.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked UC Davis Aggies | 25c | 203$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked UC Davis Aggies | 41c | 168.18$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.78 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed California-San Diego Tritons | 56c | 162$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed UC Davis Aggies | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked UC Davis Aggies | 46c | 153.6$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 53c | 149.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed UC Davis Aggies | 45c | 135.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UC Davis Aggies | 57c | 130.37$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.26 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed California-San Diego Tritons | 54c | 127.77$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed California-San Diego Tritons | 47c | 125.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed California-San Diego Tritons | 43c | 112.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17bf…5a53backed UC Davis Aggies | 33c | 95.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -17.2wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed UC Davis Aggies | 44c | 93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed California-San Diego Tritons | 56c | 88.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed UC Davis Aggies | 17c | 84.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed UC Davis Aggies | 51c | 79.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 51c | 78.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed UC Davis Aggies | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed California-San Diego Tritons | 54c | 52.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UC Davis Aggies | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed UC Davis Aggies | 24c | 49.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed UC Davis Aggies | 45c | 47.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed UC Davis Aggies | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed California-San Diego Tritons | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cf…058dbacked UC Davis Aggies | 47c | 33.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed UC Davis Aggies | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed UC Davis Aggies | 47c | 25.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x893f…43aabacked California-San Diego Tritons | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- California-San Diego Tritons vs. UC Davis Aggiesthis page
- California-San Diego Tritons vs. UC Davis Aggies: O/U 151.5Over won
- California-San Diego Tritons vs. UC Davis Aggies: O/U 152.5Over won
- California-San Diego Tritons vs. UC Davis Aggies: O/U 153.5Over won
- Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-2.5)California-San Diego Tritons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.