Premier League · resolved market
Will Peterborough United FC win on 2026-08-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d1eb1df7db5281faf0b14b81dc553637bbbf097eb28498a1ba33e3888f8d47f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 75c | 15,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,199.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 55c | 10,710$5,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,825.22 | 1,218 | 32.2%392 W · 826 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked No | 24c | 6,874$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.8 | 175 | 36.6%64 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 4,721$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.63 | 4,892 | 41.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L | +25.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 75c | 3,703$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.98 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 29c | 2,644$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.96 | 330 | 48.2%159 W · 171 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked Yes | 56c | 2,554$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 26c | 2,350$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.39 | 749 | 50.7%380 W · 369 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 26c | 1,991$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.06 | 1,328 | 42.4%563 W · 765 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 75c | 1,831$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.14 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 25c | 1,789$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.37 | 859 | 52.7%453 W · 406 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 51c | 1,426$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.88 | 1,028 | 36.2%372 W · 656 L | -19.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 1,312$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.53 | 1,383 | 48.3%668 W · 715 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 68c | 935.96$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.77 | 654 | 47.4%310 W · 344 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5a…2afdbacked Yes | 22c | 799.99$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.06 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 24c | 781$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.56 | 225 | 37.8%85 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 569.29$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.04 | 2,613 | 47.6%1,245 W · 1,368 L | +42.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Yes | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 22c | 543.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.9 | 657 | 44.6%293 W · 364 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 43c | 436.03$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.49 | 785 | 42.5%334 W · 451 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 73c | 400$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad2…790cbacked No | 69c | 347.83$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 39c | 310.67$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.59 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 76c | 306$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…59e2backed No | 75c | 299.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2a…39bdbacked No | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 24c | 254.91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.73 | 601 | 47.8%287 W · 314 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 48c | 206.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.72 | 1,176 | 57.4%675 W · 501 L | +40.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a7…d57fbacked No | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…236dbacked No | 73c | 192.86$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 26c | 150.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.57 | 1,713 | 52.8%905 W · 808 L | +31.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 10c | 148.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 689 | 32.9%227 W · 462 L | -32.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 75c | 146.22$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.93 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb31…fe71backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 24c | 125.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.13 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6728…a070backed No | 74c | 108.19$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 24c | 97.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 560 | 44.6%250 W · 310 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…fc7cbacked No | 76c | 94.71$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3e…bbeebacked Yes | 76c | 87$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked No | 75c | 76.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ace…23d1backed No | 38c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 25c | 70.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540e…df8dbacked Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 63c | 62.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca00…848dbacked Yes | 76c | 61.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 22c | 61.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 369 | 51.2%189 W · 180 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed No | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 59c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked No | 75c | 43.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 70c | 34.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -5.5wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked No | 75c | 34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 40c | 33.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4a…ad4cbacked Yes | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27f…13afbacked No | 75c | 30.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf26…6d04backed Yes | 75c | 26.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…3ae4backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c1…6790backed No | 76c | 26.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc1…0f58backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad6…c911backed Yes | 76c | 22.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 72c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 73c | 20.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165a…c977backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed No | 80c | 19.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…6807backed No | 75c | 18.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f5…d7c4backed No | 75c | 17.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 76c | 15.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Peterborough United FC win on 2026-08-25?this page
- Will Watford FC vs. Peterborough United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Watford FC win on 2026-08-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.