Will Watford FC win on 2026-08-25?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d31065708b7060551673606932173b9ee93f189bc02afcf9d76bf97dc13f353

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $156,691
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $154,607

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,691 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3eb0…6a68backed No	56c	106,549$59,551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,998.02	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.21per pick	54cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	44c	30,386$13,258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,258.4	4,892	41.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L	+25.4wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-15%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e25…d49ebacked No	56c	22,000$12,420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,579.83	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	41c	12,946$5,359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,358.94	6,225	45.6%2,836 W · 3,389 L	-34.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes	44c	11,094$4,881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,881.36	132	47%62 W · 70 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Yes	44c	10,500$4,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,620	66	50%33 W · 33 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes	46c	6,949$3,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,197.49	1,383	48.3%668 W · 715 L	-3.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes	40c	6,808$2,719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,719.06	1,218	32.2%392 W · 826 L	-17.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x999d…a1e1backed Yes	44c	5,409$2,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,379.96	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes	43c	5,401$2,322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,322.22	878	48.3%424 W · 454 L	+12.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes	46c	4,768$2,198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,197.82	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes	46c	4,573$2,091 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,091.21	94	57.4%54 W · 40 L	+6.1wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes	44c	3,834$1,690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,690.29	654	47.4%310 W · 344 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Yes	44c	3,678$1,618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,618.32	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes	44c	3,634$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,599.52	2,613	47.6%1,245 W · 1,368 L	+42.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Yes	45c	3,548$1,597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,596.57	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes	36c	2,794$1,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,002.32	1,028	36.2%372 W · 656 L	-19.5wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes	45c	2,000$890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$890	859	52.7%453 W · 406 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes	45c	1,797$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.5	749	50.7%380 W · 369 L	+7.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes	43c	1,563$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679.61	1,328	42.4%563 W · 765 L	-29.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	46c	1,116$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.38	685	39.9%273 W · 412 L	+12.8wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes	21c	1,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	38	63.2%24 W · 14 L	+5.4wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x96c2…5741backed Yes	53c	947.12$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+52.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes	43c	905$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.15	595	51.3%305 W · 290 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes	44c	689.57$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.69	114	41.2%47 W · 67 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes	44c	649.22$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.89	225	37.8%85 W · 140 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No	77c	454.66$352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.5	752	56.4%424 W · 328 L	+43.8wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	+2.1wins	+0.11per pick	10cpaid	+68.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed Yes	22c	444.66$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	53	35.8%19 W · 34 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdeb1…e05ebacked Yes	44c	431.82$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes	44c	427.95$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.3	64	39.1%25 W · 39 L	-6.7wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-27%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes	22c	424.32$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.13	601	47.8%287 W · 314 L	+17.9wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No	44c	378.32$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.36	657	44.6%293 W · 364 L	-21.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf762…d55fbacked Yes	49c	300$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Yes	44c	266.86$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.42	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7525…fd3cbacked No	57c	263.17$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.16	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes	53c	255$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.14	228	47.8%109 W · 119 L	+9.7wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Yes	59c	254.24$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes	41c	253$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.82	176	48.9%86 W · 90 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed No	57c	226.6$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.44	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.5wins	-0.31per pick	56cpaid	-59.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb00f…0965backed Yes	45c	208.16$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.67	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Yes	44c	204.55$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.51	68	30.9%21 W · 47 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked Yes	45c	200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes	45c	187.15$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.83	1,713	52.8%905 W · 808 L	+31.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes	44c	177.93$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.29	313	55.9%175 W · 138 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5403…edd5backed Yes	57c	175.44$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes	58c	172.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	142	57.7%82 W · 60 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5be1…3371backed Yes	59c	169.49$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Yes	44c	158.59$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes	44c	148$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.12	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7523…68a0backed Yes	44c	135$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.95	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…f409backed Yes	44c	132.86$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.94	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes	16c	126.14$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.66	689	32.9%227 W · 462 L	-32.4wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed No	52c	120$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.6	25	52%13 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes	50c	103.54$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.77	354	28.5%101 W · 253 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes	45c	103$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.88	867	48.7%422 W · 445 L	-12.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Yes	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	73	43.8%32 W · 41 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x308f…91a8backed Yes	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes	47c	90.19$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.33	201	51.2%103 W · 98 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Yes	44c	87.53$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.51	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed Yes	46c	87.28$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.98	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes	55c	81.82$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9735…db39backed Yes	55c	81.82$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-2.2wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Yes	45c	76$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.2	105	58.1%61 W · 44 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	50c	73.1$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.55	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes	29c	72.57$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.77	560	44.6%250 W · 310 L	-15.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f86…4fa9backed Yes	56c	71.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	25	52%13 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes	19c	66.1$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	151	34.4%52 W · 99 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x914a…9642backed Yes	46c	65.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	51c	63.22$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.36	376	38.3%144 W · 232 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Yes	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5180…9cf1backed Yes	51c	57$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.07	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Yes	44c	56.82$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	65	46.2%30 W · 35 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x165d…121cbacked Yes	45c	55.56$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-46%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No	41c	55.14$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	68	30.9%21 W · 47 L	-10.5wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Yes	50c	53.89$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	218	52.3%114 W · 104 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x739b…417ebacked Yes	56c	53.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	54cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ace…23d1backed Yes	44c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked No	60c	49.18$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.52	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.0wins	+0.25per pick	63cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Yes	44c	47.85$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	233	56.7%132 W · 101 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Yes	41c	47.28$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.26	65	53.8%35 W · 30 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775e…e94abacked Yes	44c	44$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.36	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes	44c	43.48$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.13	58	51.7%30 W · 28 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd8a…7116backed No	45c	42.12$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.17	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b56…a082backed Yes	44c	42$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.48	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x545d…70ffbacked Yes	45c	40.09$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.04	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdba4…1528backed Yes	51c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+3.4wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e40…56c1backed No	51c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.6	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.6wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+71.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Yes	45c	38.3$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.28	79	57%45 W · 34 L	+5.3wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed Yes	58c	34.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	119	57.1%68 W · 51 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b04…403fbacked Yes	44c	34.23$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.06	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.8wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa295…98bcbacked Yes	56c	33.93$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	57	63.2%36 W · 21 L	+5.2wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes	44c	30$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	599	50.4%302 W · 297 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03dc…64fdbacked Yes	53c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.9	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1790…30f7backed No	52c	28.85$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.85	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	59cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Yes	48c	28.26$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.52	168	45.2%76 W · 92 L	-11.7wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No	77c	28$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.44	772	41.6%321 W · 451 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Yes	44c	27.27$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Yes	48c	27.26$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.08	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes	45c	25.89$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	369	51.2%189 W · 180 L	+13.5wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Watford FC win on 2026-08-25?this page
Will Peterborough United FC win on 2026-08-25?Yes won
Will Watford FC vs. Peterborough United FC end in a draw?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Watford FC win on 2026-08-25?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event