MLB · resolved market
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e261ed3afe2ac676b836f6e3036b64d702ccb9d92e23c3efb80ab381dfdbb9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof SSG Landers, Samsung Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1dd9…cd04backed SSG Landers | 67c | 12,353$8,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,232 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Samsung Lions | 41c | 3,907$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.74 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Samsung Lions | 33c | 3,442$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.54 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.86 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Samsung Lions | 33c | 2,562$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.32 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed SSG Landers | 16c | 603.69$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.59 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Samsung Lions | 16c | 595.95$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.32 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Samsung Lions | 51c | 408.97$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.7 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed SSG Landers | 35c | 379.28$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.75 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SSG Landers | 37c | 340.22$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.38 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Samsung Lions | 47c | 340.07$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.07 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebe…74a9backed Samsung Lions | 13c | 331.17$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.11 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed SSG Landers | 37c | 324.43$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.11 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked SSG Landers | 41c | 319.7$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.08 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Samsung Lions | 63c | 287.22$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.48 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed SSG Landers | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 157$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed SSG Landers | 28c | 150.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed SSG Landers | 48c | 144.73$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Samsung Lions | 32c | 116.04$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.16 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Samsung Lions | 65c | 112.17$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Samsung Lions | 30c | 74.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Samsung Lions | 38c | 72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Samsung Lions | 63c | 67.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed SSG Landers | 67c | 64.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed SSG Landers | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed SSG Landers | 35c | 59.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked Samsung Lions | 24c | 58.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2481…5db7backed Samsung Lions | 64c | 54.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked SSG Landers | 41c | 51.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed SSG Landers | 34c | 50.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Samsung Lions | 36c | 50.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed SSG Landers | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…ddc2backed SSG Landers | 65c | 49.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…cef3backed SSG Landers | 50c | 48.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb4…da3cbacked Samsung Lions | 64c | 46.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed Samsung Lions | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Samsung Lions | 23c | 44.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed SSG Landers | 77c | 42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked SSG Landers | 42c | 40.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -9.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed SSG Landers | 40c | 38.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…5ff8backed SSG Landers | 40c | 38.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Samsung Lions | 65c | 35.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…0b91backed SSG Landers | 54c | 33.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed SSG Landers | 36c | 33.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 32.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed SSG Landers | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed SSG Landers | 67c | 29.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 363 | 67.8%246 W · 117 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b7…a7f3backed SSG Landers | 50c | 28.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb58f…5c19backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 28.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Samsung Lions | 62c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a9…7c4ebacked Samsung Lions | 65c | 27.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 262 | 51.9%136 W · 126 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed SSG Landers | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46bf…3e5abacked SSG Landers | 50c | 25.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…217cbacked Samsung Lions | 50c | 25.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1d…2ef0backed SSG Landers | 50c | 21.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a1…7f20backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 21.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Samsung Lions | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…41acbacked SSG Landers | 63c | 18.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…5f8bbacked Samsung Lions | 59c | 17.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked SSG Landers | 64c | 16.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -12.1wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.