Tennis · resolved market
Merida Open Akron, Qualification: Tiphanie Lemaitre vs Maria Lourdes Carle
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e531180037ab05d6783e5c144486a334a3223824b3f0897506bcd126d22cffb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carleof Lemaitre, Carle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lemaitre | 22c | 5,995$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.56 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Carle | 76c | 4,682$3,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.55 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lemaitre | 17c | 4,375$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.94 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Carle | 72c | 1,806$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.55 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lemaitre | 28c | 700$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Lemaitre | 29c | 622.28$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.84 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Lemaitre | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Lemaitre | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Lemaitre | 26c | 354.36$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.54 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Lemaitre | 28c | 352.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lemaitre | 17c | 334.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Carle | 78c | 294.95$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Carle | 77c | 285.19$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Carle | 72c | 275.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.88 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Lemaitre | 37c | 271.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Lemaitre | 6c | 178$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Lemaitre | 28c | 167.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Lemaitre | 27c | 152.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb127…b8a2backed Carle | 75c | 133.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Lemaitre | 23c | 131.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Lemaitre | 28c | 117.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Lemaitre | 25c | 116.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Carle | 73c | 109.2$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Carle | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Carle | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lemaitre | 18c | 95.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Lemaitre | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Carle | 70c | 89$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Carle | 77c | 79$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Lemaitre | 19c | 78.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lemaitre | 25c | 76.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Carle | 77c | 72.19$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lemaitre | 23c | 69.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Lemaitre | 29c | 55.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Lemaitre | 26c | 55.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Lemaitre | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 196 | 34.2%67 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Lemaitre | 28c | 41.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Lemaitre | 29c | 41.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6c…1c75backed Carle | 73c | 40.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…126cbacked Lemaitre | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Lemaitre | 39c | 39.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea72…d821backed Carle | 72c | 21.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Carle | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 164 | 68.9%113 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…ad29backed Carle | 72c | 19.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Carle | 73c | 19.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Carle | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.