Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Central Michigan Chippewas: O/U 156.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e81629296f61d47e5809ac04f4ff82fb5bec3007557002638791a0cbcbc867c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $593,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $596,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $593,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 52c | 568,644$298,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298,155.41 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Over | 47c | 248,724$116,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131,823.98 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Over | 48c | 150,000$72,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,000 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 48c | 115,715$55,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,179.16 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 48c | 30,000$14,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,750 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Over | 48c | 7,777$3,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,044.04 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Over | 48c | 6,500$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,380 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Over | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Over | 48c | 3,040$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.58 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 2,170$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.62 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 1,077$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.12 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 891$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.38 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Over | 48c | 875$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 48c | 680$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.6 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed Over | 49c | 561.06$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.14 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 53c | 531.23$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.54 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 52c | 360.5$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.46 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 49c | 194.36$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.43 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 49c | 98.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Over | 49c | 94.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 48c | 78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…ebf3backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…6006backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked Over | 50c | 40.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Over | 50c | 35.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Central Michigan Chippewas: O/U 156.5this page
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Central Michigan ChippewasCentral Michigan Chippewas won
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Central Michigan Chippewas: O/U 154.5Over won
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Central Michigan Chippewas: O/U 155.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.