Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Central Michigan Chippewas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5438fa0e26e24cccef6713a57dbe0f1253b6658f4490053329dcc6868009de1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Michigan Chippewasof Kent State Golden Flashes, Central Michigan Chippewas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6218…f388backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 56c | 13,485$7,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,613.69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 36c | 7,058$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,520.3 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 34c | 6,446$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,265.85 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 28c | 5,981$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.61 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 47c | 3,471$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.44 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 66c | 3,429$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.69 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 26c | 2,681$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.99 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 44c | 2,483$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.48 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 15c | 2,419$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.43 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 47c | 1,883$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.96 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 23c | 1,330$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.34 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 15c | 1,200$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 26c | 1,013$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.55 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 44c | 666$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.14 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 72c | 596.57$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.67 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…4ceabacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 60c | 570.63$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.33 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 28c | 525.17$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.63 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 20c | 499.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.84 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 44c | 434.21$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.16 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 42c | 384$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.09 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 10c | 325.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 35c | 288.41$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.89 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 58c | 286$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.02 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 30c | 238.29$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.65 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 79c | 169.27$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.72 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 71c | 164.35$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.31 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 7c | 156.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 21c | 93.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.74 | 94 | 12.8%12 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 27c | 91.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 75c | 89.96$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 33c | 76.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 15c | 73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.05 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 68c | 68.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4225…7fafbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 44c | 44.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 36c | 43.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb343…9813backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 33c | 33.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f33…0ecabacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 44c | 24.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Central Michigan Chippewasthis page
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Central Michigan Chippewas: O/U 154.5Over won
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Central Michigan Chippewas: O/U 155.5Over won
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Central Michigan Chippewas: O/U 156.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.