Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ebde7486925ccca5acce571c782b4444ee1d9590b0a8d7c56f8edfc9a755b68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1e1…c152backed No | 3c | 1,060$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 202 | 31.2%63 W · 139 L | +22.2wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…dd17backed No | 5c | 615.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 278 | 41%114 W · 164 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21fb…842cbacked No | 11c | 231.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed Yes | 36c | 220.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.67 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 45c | 169.44$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.19 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 60c | 158$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.75 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 63c | 145.4$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.27 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…3d88backed No | 76c | 126$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 478 | 66.5%318 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 61c | 123.13$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 46c | 122.4$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 60c | 122$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.13 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…a836backed No | 13c | 118.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 60c | 112.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 56c | 100.69$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 33c | 92.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 40c | 83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…5577backed Yes | 42c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 38c | 71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…bdf5backed Yes | 43c | 69.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…57c3backed No | 23c | 67.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -16.9wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 58c | 64.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 19c | 61.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 72c | 57.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 29c | 56.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.62 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…0212backed No | 59c | 54.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 252 | 58.7%148 W · 104 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 36c | 54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 58c | 50.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 39c | 48.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed Yes | 79c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Yes | 59c | 42.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 506 | 48.8%247 W · 259 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 61c | 41.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 253 | 58.9%149 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 42c | 40.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 42c | 39.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…8652backed No | 63c | 38.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf723…a499backed Yes | 77c | 36.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…0500backed Yes | 38c | 34.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e1…77debacked Yes | 37c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 76c | 33.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 47c | 33.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 60c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 65c | 29.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…f552backed No | 60c | 29.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 354 | 41%145 W · 209 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 66c | 28.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c1…9615backed Yes | 45c | 26.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 41c | 25.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 63c | 23.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…898abacked No | 64c | 22.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 301 | 68.8%207 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…940ebacked No | 69c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 170 | 71.2%121 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5d…3384backed No | 72c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 282 | 70.2%198 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68e…a093backed Yes | 49c | 20.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e04…67f4backed No | 71c | 19.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 68c | 15.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 399 | 68.9%275 W · 124 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 67c | 14.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7d…fd73backed No | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.