TailMyPicks
Market

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

George Mason Patriots vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
George Mason Patriotsof George Mason Patriots, St. Bonaventure Bonnies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,104
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,673

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,104 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked George Mason Patriots50c10,665$5,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,332.7189645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies58c7,837$4,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,550.255,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies50c3,654$1,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8275354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies50c3,307$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,653.443627.8%10 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb160…9636backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies0c2,533$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies65c2,020$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.131,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked George Mason Patriots51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7857248.1%275 W · 297 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed George Mason Patriots47c1,900$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.071,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked George Mason Patriots33c1,899$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.371,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked George Mason Patriots42c1,627$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.941,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…e38abacked George Mason Patriots21c1,615$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.493426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75011347.8%54 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies49c1,128$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.0212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed George Mason Patriots50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50016350.9%83 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed George Mason Patriots10c999.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.9925325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c64…348fbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies2c999.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20570%0 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed George Mason Patriots9c704.55$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.551363.7%5 W · 131 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30082048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed George Mason Patriots49c583.04$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.892,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies61c568.3$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.9499848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked George Mason Patriots29c527.58$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.181,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies50c499$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.56147.5%29 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ef…cf1bbacked George Mason Patriots24c416$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3161421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies50c343$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.55,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies55c333.83$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.2594036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed George Mason Patriots26c315.91$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.4766831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed George Mason Patriots52c288.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4816248.1%78 W · 84 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies58c282.27$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1653,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked George Mason Patriots49c245$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.957250%36 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies50c212$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10681453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed George Mason Patriots52c212$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.762,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fd…1852backed George Mason Patriots54c210.61$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.88450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies50c200.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2358345.5%265 W · 318 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013052.3%68 W · 62 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies72c190$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.1172248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df1…2da7backed George Mason Patriots26c153.54$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1138930.3%27 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fa7…089dbacked George Mason Patriots43c146.2$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.339851%50 W · 48 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c34…c8b8backed George Mason Patriots46c129.6$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.614339.9%57 W · 86 L-0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508646.5%40 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7820…5b79backed George Mason Patriots31c96.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c5d…76b0backed George Mason Patriots35c90$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.141729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies75c80.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606767.2%45 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed George Mason Patriots53c75.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3853646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked George Mason Patriots28c75$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies76c60$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.693447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e46…75c2backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies73c54.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies50c54.76$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.382,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked George Mason Patriots42c52.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.51050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed George Mason Patriots43c44.3$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2525239.3%99 W · 153 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1a5…7f1abacked George Mason Patriots51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c2…d3ddbacked George Mason Patriots48c32.84$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.052250%11 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed George Mason Patriots73c30.91$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.272,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536248.6%176 W · 186 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed George Mason Patriots53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.152353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies41c29.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.364658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed George Mason Patriots51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4111445.6%52 W · 62 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies50c25.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7197447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed George Mason Patriots50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked George Mason Patriots50c21.48$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.849134.1%31 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-35.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4b0…b854backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies71c21.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83fb…e89bbacked George Mason Patriots50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1016952.7%89 W · 80 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked George Mason Patriots51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.887047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies60c17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1831666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc9c0…e0fbbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies80c15.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.