Fifa International · resolved market
Czechia to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fb4a0806e437ca6fb291084e0f28ae327ce1112c12adb5b21e9b093e048b8ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 39c | 7,856$3,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.26 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 57c | 5,540$3,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.1 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 64c | 4,258$2,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.23 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91c6…2f32backed Yes | 49c | 1,226$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 28c | 1,167$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.44 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 44c | 1,117$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.97 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Yes | 5c | 989.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…5dcebacked No | 56c | 803.57$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.57 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2584…8018backed Yes | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 2c | 635$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 56c | 629.99$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.22 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 56c | 513.17$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.8 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5d…6cdcbacked Yes | 41c | 500.28$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 55c | 473.37$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.02 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 57c | 413.77$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.92 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b82…2291backed Yes | 45c | 404.44$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 43c | 345.44$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.54 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 43c | 341.19$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.71 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 56c | 339.08$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.42 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Yes | 40c | 247.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 56c | 209$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.09 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 48c | 204.17$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 54c | 127.57$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.57 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…4647backed Yes | 39c | 127$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1d…a213backed Yes | 40c | 124.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf325…2dbabacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…98fabacked Yes | 42c | 93.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f7…f073backed Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f4…2a4dbacked Yes | 40c | 75.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 57c | 73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5758…e2d8backed Yes | 36c | 63.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…73debacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb809…1d46backed Yes | 36c | 56.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0720backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 57c | 49.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5238…ba99backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 35.3%54 W · 99 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa006…029dbacked Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c50…586dbacked Yes | 44c | 33.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…eab5backed No | 64c | 33.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 56c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…08f4backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.37per pick | 48cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Czechia to win the second half?this page
- Czechia vs. South Africa: Second half draw?No won
- South Africa to win the second half?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.