TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,083
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,555

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,083 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a32…0086backed Under51c27,188$13,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,821.0627254.4%148 W · 124 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fd2…1c0cbacked Over53c12,138$6,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,709.962070%14 W · 6 L+4.4wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+47.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c3,576$1,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.4365050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Under51c3,273$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,669.213324.2%8 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c3,240$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,627.4146547.1%219 W · 246 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed Over49c2,955$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.0611749.6%58 W · 59 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Over51c1,949$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.785747.4%27 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under52c1,782$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.461,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c1,762$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.281,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.535,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under52c1,363$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.2524651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01a5…312ebacked Over49c1,311$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.264546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under52c1,158$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.361,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Under52c985.02$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.2116945%76 W · 93 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over48c928.76$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.9532348.9%158 W · 165 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over48c628.82$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.3616644.6%74 W · 92 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under52c568.28$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.5111652.6%61 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over49c528$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.281,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over49c510$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.116135.4%57 W · 104 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under52c500.15$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.671,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c466.32$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.0212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e8…731cbacked Over48c392$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.842552%13 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c328.6$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.2367849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over53c300.32$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.7430842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15311647.4%55 W · 61 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Under52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1567243.1%31 W · 41 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over47c298.14$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.561352.5%322 W · 291 L+29.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over49c295.32$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.689,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under52c287.31$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.421847.7%104 W · 114 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Under53c222.64$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4716453%87 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over33c211.2$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.551,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over48c201.11$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5514444.4%64 W · 80 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Over48c197$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.442657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under52c189.43$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.512655.6%70 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under52c189.43$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.510056%56 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over49c169.67$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.531,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ca9…37d8backed Over52c142.62$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.746060%36 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over48c134$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6875049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed Over47c102.7$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4316155.9%90 W · 71 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1f1…3fd9backed Over48c102.61$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.361844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4826845.9%123 W · 145 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Over48c99.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5213560%81 W · 54 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf4dd…ad7bbacked Under52c98.86$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.41742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over52c90.62$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.51,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Over49c82.08$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8694549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over51c81.96$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.249649.8%247 W · 249 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c81.41$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.736,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Under53c76.43$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5113549.6%67 W · 68 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under52c76.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.750949.5%252 W · 257 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Over48c73.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.129349.5%46 W · 47 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over48c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.440446.5%188 W · 216 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Over50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3539850.3%200 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under56c67.61$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.781,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under56c67.61$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7824348.1%117 W · 126 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Under49c60.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.554143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under54c58.68$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.71,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over49c54.78$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9467453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under52c52.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5325349.4%125 W · 128 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under52c52.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5328646.2%132 W · 154 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Under52c51.34$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.726151%133 W · 128 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Under52c46.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.637748.1%37 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under57c46.83$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.768246.3%38 W · 44 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under53c46.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.638243.9%36 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc18a…b3dbbacked Over52c41.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.162347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Under49c41.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2715351.6%79 W · 74 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under52c40.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.087839.7%31 W · 47 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over33c38.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.661,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Under52c37.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.75450%27 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over47c36.1$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.132748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Over53c32.69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.391,36754.3%742 W · 625 L+16.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under52c31.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5237747.2%178 W · 199 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4168…a631backed Over52c28.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.631553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under70c27.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.581,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a31…f1c6backed Over48c27.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.31827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfbed…6221backed Under79c24.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.781662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4602…06adbacked Over48c22.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under53c20.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0127146.9%127 W · 144 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under53c20.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.017345.2%33 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under53c20.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0145246.2%209 W · 243 L-18.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Under53c20.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.015841.4%24 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e13…b909backed Under53c19.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.445851.7%30 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.