MLB · resolved market
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x107b28178c30a9a5388c38fce7e3cada647af12c2b7e9097efa794c146aeaab4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lotte Giantsof Lotte Giants, KT Wiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked KT Wiz | 58c | 1,730$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed KT Wiz | 59c | 850.92$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2c…f9f2backed KT Wiz | 38c | 780.9$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.13 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked KT Wiz | 22c | 771.91$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.55 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lotte Giants | 56c | 717.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.49 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lotte Giants | 42c | 500$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.77 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed KT Wiz | 37c | 465.47$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.05 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 446$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.85 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 346.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.34 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 326.67$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.74 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KT Wiz | 20c | 272.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 254.71$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.22 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Lotte Giants | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 280 | 45.7%128 W · 152 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lotte Giants | 72c | 191.45$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Lotte Giants | 77c | 182.87$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 166$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.48 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lotte Giants | 41c | 165.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.88 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…5fecbacked KT Wiz | 49c | 165.68$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.53 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…0cbfbacked KT Wiz | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 139.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…9372backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 125.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.1 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 104.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.75 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked KT Wiz | 57c | 101.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed KT Wiz | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Lotte Giants | 71c | 97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Lotte Giants | 79c | 92$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed KT Wiz | 57c | 92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed KT Wiz | 27c | 92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked KT Wiz | 51c | 86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed KT Wiz | 56c | 85.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Lotte Giants | 62c | 80.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed KT Wiz | 40c | 80.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc402…83f7backed KT Wiz | 58c | 69.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Lotte Giants | 38c | 62.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 278 | 52.2%145 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Lotte Giants | 75c | 59.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 57.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 54.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Lotte Giants | 38c | 52.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 51.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked KT Wiz | 19c | 51.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37f1…19a0backed KT Wiz | 59c | 47.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 45.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 39.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…7c8bbacked KT Wiz | 50c | 39.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Lotte Giants | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2a…7f8bbacked Lotte Giants | 61c | 32.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Lotte Giants | 67c | 31.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 363 | 67.8%246 W · 117 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed KT Wiz | 53c | 25.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…9e39backed Lotte Giants | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Lotte Giants | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd25a…7f71backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +11.4wins | +0.26per pick | 42cpaid | +92%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed KT Wiz | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked KT Wiz | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Lotte Giants | 79c | 16.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Lotte Giants | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.