Tennis · resolved market
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Gabriel Diallo vs Zizou Bergs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x107b2ac4f2bc59011c044790c419d93addbe87ea32885789a07b5d1017f89f54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bergsof Diallo, Bergs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Bergs | 19c | 12,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,720 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bergs | 37c | 4,148$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.03 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Diallo | 65c | 3,561$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.05 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bergs | 41c | 2,223$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.84 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bergs | 37c | 2,167$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Diallo | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Diallo | 80c | 1,189$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.2 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Diallo | 51c | 1,000$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.33 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Diallo | 80c | 861.9$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.44 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Diallo | 75c | 853$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.33 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Diallo | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Bergs | 40c | 591.27$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.76 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd941…bc46backed Bergs | 38c | 529.98$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.59 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Bergs | 37c | 501.83$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…1722backed Diallo | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Diallo | 62c | 424.99$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.45 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Bergs | 59c | 343.2$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.78 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Bergs | 39c | 259$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.99 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Diallo | 61c | 244.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.24 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Bergs | 40c | 209.87$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.41 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Bergs | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Diallo | 60c | 188.67$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.61 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Bergs | 42c | 178.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.57 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Diallo | 61c | 145$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.45 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Diallo | 62c | 141.08$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.47 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Diallo | 72c | 130$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Bergs | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Bergs | 39c | 90$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Bergs | 17c | 83.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed Diallo | 62c | 82.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Diallo | 64c | 75.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Bergs | 39c | 71.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bergs | 39c | 64.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Bergs | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Bergs | 42c | 47.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Bergs | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…1485backed Bergs | 30c | 46.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Bergs | 48c | 42.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Diallo | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | -77%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…05f5backed Bergs | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Diallo | 62c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed Diallo | 64c | 30.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…c5a2backed Diallo | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.