MLB · resolved market

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x109b9c0466a1cf2f03c81cfc6f4da9d242ef471b58582214a10dc14a4e0955c9

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $235,975
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $340,759

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,975 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under	57c	104,474$59,306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45,167.37	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over	44c	54,274$23,881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,880.68	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	43c	17,502$7,507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,506.74	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed Under	54c	12,875$6,918 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,957.12	149	43.6%65 W · 84 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over	42c	5,952$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	390	47.4%185 W · 205 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	43c	5,844$2,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,499.42	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over	42c	5,742$2,412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,411.64	235	38.3%90 W · 145 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over	44c	5,437$2,417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,416.5	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	46c	4,281$1,969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,969.24	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Over	42c	3,978$1,671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,670.84	188	60.1%113 W · 75 L	+14.6wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+237.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	43c	3,007$1,304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,303.75	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Over	42c	2,614$1,098 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,097.76	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	57c	1,661$943 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$718.04	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	46c	1,260$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$579.6	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Over	42c	1,119$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.2wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over	45c	1,085$487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.57	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over	44c	1,017$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.64	912	52.4%478 W · 434 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over	46c	1,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Under	55c	999.97$552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$447.99	237	58.6%139 W · 98 L	+16.9wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over	45c	987.99$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.6	252	49.2%124 W · 128 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	44c	950$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	46c	834.04$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.65	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under	55c	831.26$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$374.07	2,291	52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L	+24.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over	42c	702.71$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.14	614	50.8%312 W · 302 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Over	42c	701.02$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.43	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-3.1wins	-0.14per pick	41cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	33c	590.15$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.76	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over	43c	578.87$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.18	445	53.5%238 W · 207 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over	43c	571.73$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.18	273	45.4%124 W · 149 L	-13.7wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed Under	58c	520$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.4	269	48.7%131 W · 138 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over	24c	506.62$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.58	2,147	50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L	+27.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Under	58c	500$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	514	49.2%253 W · 261 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over	42c	418$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.56	123	50.4%62 W · 61 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Over	42c	400$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Under	56c	300$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132	586	52.7%309 W · 277 L	+14.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over	45c	300$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	994	47.3%470 W · 524 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over	33c	291.8$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.53	1,147	31.6%362 W · 785 L	-97.5wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Over	42c	285.71$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	93	39.8%37 W · 56 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Over	42c	238.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	112	44.6%50 W · 62 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Under	57c	237.13$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.13	812	57.3%465 W · 347 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Over	46c	222.8$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.49	215	50.2%108 W · 107 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	66c	204.33$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.02	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over	44c	175.56$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.23	2,945	47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Over	42c	157.14$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	104	38.5%40 W · 64 L	-7.7wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	55c	157.1$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.27	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over	37c	154.73$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.25	904	46.9%424 W · 480 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	67c	151.54$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.6	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	44c	150.25$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.11	2,296	49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L	+37.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	16c	149.38$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.34	1,927	17.2%331 W · 1,596 L	-320.3wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Over	48c	140$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.85	358	49.4%177 W · 181 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over	44c	136.46$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.58	515	45.2%233 W · 282 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under	54c	125.05$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.52	550	53.6%295 W · 255 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Over	42c	120.69$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.69	1,014	47.7%484 W · 530 L	-28.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Under	66c	100.48$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.16	447	44.1%197 W · 250 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Under	55c	100.08$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.04	274	54.4%149 W · 125 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7e…ad97backed Under	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	143	58%83 W · 60 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	57c	100$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	1,172	49.1%575 W · 597 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Under	57c	87.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	1,197	53.9%645 W · 552 L	+42.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9950…1432backed Under	55c	87.27$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.27	158	49.4%78 W · 80 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under	66c	82.77$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.81	2,583	61.4%1,587 W · 996 L	+70.9wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over	44c	80$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.2	1,062	49.2%523 W · 539 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under	71c	75.13$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.79	2,995	50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L	-36.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	42c	69.76$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.3	1,284	49.5%635 W · 649 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over	42c	62.14$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.1	674	53%357 W · 317 L	+28.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51f4…3e21backed Over	43c	62$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.66	250	34.8%87 W · 163 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb94…a015backed Over	42c	59.52$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-3.2wins	-0.19per pick	43cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Over	34c	59.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.22	1,607	53.2%855 W · 752 L	+74.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Over	42c	58.62$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.62	179	53.1%95 W · 84 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Over	42c	52.26$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.95	420	47.9%201 W · 219 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Under	57c	50$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.5	241	52.7%127 W · 114 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over	46c	43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.62	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked Over	37c	40$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	778	36%280 W · 498 L	-17.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Over	43c	38.04$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.39	344	51.5%177 W · 167 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Over	46c	37.64$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.31	443	45.6%202 W · 241 L	-10.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Over	38c	32.21$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.24	536	44.6%239 W · 297 L	-11.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x776f…32b7backed Under	75c	32$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	96	57.3%55 W · 41 L	+5.5wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed Under	55c	29.99$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	816	51.8%423 W · 393 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Over	42c	28.52$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	228	49.6%113 W · 115 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Under	51c	26.25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.86	125	41.6%52 W · 73 L	-13.5wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under	56c	24.89$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.95	348	46.8%163 W · 185 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over	43c	23.54$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	580	54.5%316 W · 264 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…7b57backed Over	47c	21.28$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7701…6ea2backed Under	55c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	170	51.8%88 W · 82 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e94…776bbacked Under	54c	18.91$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.7	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5this page
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Under won
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 4.5Over won
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Over won
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Over won
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta BravesNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event