MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe905b76a501cdd8be2921df2949c3bd7c9bf966783d1285745c36474c0aa189
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 44c | 40,000$17,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,600 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Over | 56c | 34,989$19,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,395.18 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 57c | 22,205$12,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,637.06 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Under | 43c | 19,520$8,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,393.01 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Under | 38c | 3,300$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 62c | 3,249$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.42 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 43c | 2,717$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.04 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 57c | 1,716$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.97 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Under | 45c | 1,422$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.91 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Over | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Over | 57c | 804$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.72 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Over | 57c | 675.24$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.35 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Under | 45c | 537.6$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.92 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Over | 58c | 514.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.91 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 57c | 406.55$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.82 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 57c | 395.51$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.07 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 44c | 341$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 58c | 299.98$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.68 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 50c | 292.57$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.24 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 40c | 224.22$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.93 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 44c | 220$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Under | 41c | 211$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.51 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 57c | 179$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.97 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 57c | 166$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.38 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 21c | 152.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 45c | 104.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 60c | 101$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 61c | 100.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.31 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 56c | 88.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 41c | 86.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 44c | 82.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 39c | 54.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 39c | 51.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 56c | 50.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Under | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 57c | 44.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…f92ebacked Over | 56c | 43.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 27c | 39.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 57c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 57c | 36.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 41c | 35.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba6e…bc14backed Under | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…a6fabacked Under | 45c | 34.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Over | 57c | 34.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de2…cd3fbacked Over | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 41c | 28.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…b576backed Under | 45c | 28.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 275 | 57.1%157 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e1…ba1fbacked Under | 70c | 26.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 73c | 23.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 46c | 21.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Over | 58c | 21.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 4.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.