Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10f84d80a5234fbe912372a99df283eedfb05289f51ce55c8d414aac39908ec7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 76c | 9,205$6,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.78 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 23c | 7,638$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.95 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a39…b0b9backed No | 46c | 6,341$2,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,902 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 53c | 3,800$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.99 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 79c | 2,309$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.46 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 30c | 1,976$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.56 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 54c | 1,851$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.46 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 54c | 897.59$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.89 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…5631backed No | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 38c | 362.13$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.92 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 51c | 349.51$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.78 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 54c | 325$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.28 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 34c | 205.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 48c | 203.04$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.46 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 54c | 175.62$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 31c | 165.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 34c | 164.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 52c | 155.52$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 22c | 153$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 55c | 100.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 54c | 95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 32c | 94.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 78c | 90.41$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe6…4a1bbacked No | 22c | 90.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +10.1wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +330.1%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4e15…d2c9backed Yes | 59c | 69.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 74c | 67.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 53c | 62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 41c | 60.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 55c | 60.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 44c | 59.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 54c | 58.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 30c | 51.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 69c | 51.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed No | 26c | 45.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 30c | 44.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b96…6226backed Yes | 80c | 29.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 54c | 29.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…ac10backed Yes | 74c | 26.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 48c | 25.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed Yes | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 66c | 19.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…635abacked Yes | 80c | 17.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will Derry City FC vs. HNK Rijeka end in a draw?No won
- Will Derry City FC win on 2026-07-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.