Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Derry City FC win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd00ba2cd40e64ba1bcc2f13d962ddce46059e559092fd79c2e6224930c036ca5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a39…b0b9backed Yes | 20c | 6,147$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.63 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 13c | 1,850$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.23 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 1,200$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 77c | 1,050$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 80c | 995$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.97 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 79c | 887$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.49 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 76c | 884.17$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.2 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 23c | 846.89$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.47 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed No | 77c | 525$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.75 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 77c | 524.99$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.75 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 9c | 514.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 78c | 335.4$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.79 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 320$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 77c | 272.51$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.68 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 79c | 235.87$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 79c | 231$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…7b80backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 165.76$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 79c | 96.63$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 79c | 87$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 18c | 72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 17c | 67.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 23c | 52.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed No | 80c | 50.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 30 | 90%27 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 79cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 79c | 37.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed No | 79c | 25.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 78cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed No | 78c | 21.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 77c | 18.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 78c | 17.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Derry City FC win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will Derry City FC vs. HNK Rijeka end in a draw?No won
- Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-07-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.