Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
New Orleans Privateers vs. Northwestern State Demons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1141802c81cc7d536a12802e8beede38933a9840dfc50ee81faa0c9e2a8599da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northwestern State Demonsof New Orleans Privateers, Northwestern State Demons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New Orleans Privateers | 69c | 4,617$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200.01 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Northwestern State Demons | 26c | 2,348$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.32 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed New Orleans Privateers | 40c | 743.92$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.57 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Northwestern State Demons | 29c | 669.36$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.71 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Northwestern State Demons | 49c | 565.53$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Northwestern State Demons | 29c | 479.48$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.1 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Northwestern State Demons | 51c | 395.01$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.14 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Northwestern State Demons | 45c | 258.36$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.08 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Northwestern State Demons | 70c | 254.92$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked New Orleans Privateers | 50c | 200.2$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked New Orleans Privateers | 17c | 194.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New Orleans Privateers | 57c | 186$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.78 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked New Orleans Privateers | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked New Orleans Privateers | 59c | 96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Northwestern State Demons | 31c | 91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Northwestern State Demons | 30c | 50.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Northwestern State Demons | 37c | 45.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed New Orleans Privateers | 69c | 40.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Orleans Privateers vs. Northwestern State Demonsthis page
- Spread: New Orleans Privateers (-1.5)Northwestern State Demons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.