Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x114bbc988c0155bafa638fdc2fbab74ea19527464ce41a0583208ccfd6c756b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southern Utah Thunderbirdsof Utah Valley Wolverines, Southern Utah Thunderbirds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 3c | 899.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 73c | 838.85$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.75 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 28c | 730.12$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.22 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 15c | 724.8$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.08 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…e0edbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 25c | 611.19$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.19 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 19c | 472$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.62 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 23c | 426.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.5 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 79c | 370.77$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.91 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 72c | 356.74$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.71 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 15c | 349.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.49 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 56c | 318.47$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.43 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd451…8f37backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 25c | 307.96$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f57…05f5backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 70c | 287.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 36c | 282.66$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.86 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 71c | 275.88$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.28 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 46c | 274.4$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.03 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 56c | 246.01$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.37 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 67c | 205.44$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 15c | 201$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.86 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 74c | 191.6$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.52 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 39c | 190.71$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 66c | 189.17$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.54 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 15c | 186$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.1 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 24c | 141.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.17 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 45c | 130.55$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 171 | 22.8%39 W · 132 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 73c | 110$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.03 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 40c | 106.8$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.34 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 52c | 95.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 23c | 82.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.24 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 31c | 72.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 49c | 61.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 30c | 59.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 34c | 58.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef05…4d9fbacked Southern Utah Thunderbirds | 24c | 54.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 75c | 45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 71c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1343…19a2backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirdsthis page
- Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds: O/U 157.5Under won
- Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds: O/U 158.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.