Tennis · resolved market
Hamburg European Open: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Anhelina Kalinina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x115aa58e9b29210f2f1a6ccffa7d8f6cd1832175f5219f06d16ca4004f5a4d4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anhelina Kalininaof Maria Lourdes Carle, Anhelina Kalinina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d6d…2654backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 10c | 15,518$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.59 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 7c | 7,574$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.19 | 931 | 40.4%376 W · 555 L | -32.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 9c | 6,095$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.19 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 1c | 5,836$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.87 | 1,205 | 8%96 W · 1,109 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…878dbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 8c | 4,099$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.92 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 5c | 3,868$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.38 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 1c | 2,906$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +496.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 7c | 2,433$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.67 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 17c | 1,923$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.99 | 1,692 | 48.8%826 W · 866 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 17c | 1,297$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.49 | 598 | 52.7%315 W · 283 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 16c | 1,109$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.44 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 17c | 957.66$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.8 | 1,638 | 48.2%789 W · 849 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 11c | 875.18$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.91 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 16c | 771.05$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.37 | 783 | 36%282 W · 501 L | +36.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d06…30d8backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 5c | 741.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 17c | 723.56$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.01 | 2,137 | 36.8%787 W · 1,350 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 13c | 716.26$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.11 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb750…67efbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 8c | 699.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 17c | 648.51$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 18c | 612.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 268 | 54.5%146 W · 122 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 4c | 591.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…a5d9backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 2c | 521.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,404 | 28.7%403 W · 1,001 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 8c | 490$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 4,647 | 49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L | +159.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 9c | 393.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 1,764 | 46.8%826 W · 938 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 7c | 377.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 9c | 343.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 2,696 | 47.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L | +46.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x280f…ad6abacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 17c | 298.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 16c | 297.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 17c | 291.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 17c | 286.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 4c | 282.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 16c | 263.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 501 | 47.7%239 W · 262 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 7c | 249.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 18c | 217.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 16c | 203.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 195 | 37.4%73 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 10c | 188.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 378 | 66.4%251 W · 127 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 14c | 187.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 347 | 48.1%167 W · 180 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cb…2087backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 9c | 162.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfab7…0ddebacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 9c | 141.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 9c | 129.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfd…a4a0backed Anhelina Kalinina | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 18c | 109.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 1,534 | 42.4%651 W · 883 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3,862 | 34.9%1,348 W · 2,514 L | +92.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Maria Lourdes Carle | 16c | 99.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 17c | 98.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 13c | 96.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 18c | 91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 16c | 71.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Maria Lourdes Carle | 19c | 67.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hamburg European Open: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Anhelina Kalininathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Carle vs KalininaKalinina won
- Set 2 Winner: Carle vs KalininaKalinina won
- Set Handicap: Kalinina (-1.5) vs Carle (+1.5)Kalinina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.