Tennis · resolved market
Thionville: Sebastian Ofner vs Murphy Cassone
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11d4850472199d235e5bd2bfd5bb9eb5538991bb309b650f3ead277c044008a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sebastian Ofnerof Sebastian Ofner, Murphy Cassone
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,887 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Sebastian Ofner | 75c | 2,660$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Murphy Cassone | 41c | 2,300$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.98 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Murphy Cassone | 10c | 2,093$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.56 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 1,768$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.84 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Murphy Cassone | 30c | 1,587$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.25 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Murphy Cassone | 38c | 1,520$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.78 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Murphy Cassone | 40c | 1,244$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.6 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Sebastian Ofner | 74c | 1,216$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.22 | 188 | 68.6%129 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Murphy Cassone | 38c | 1,059$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.23 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed Sebastian Ofner | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -9.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Murphy Cassone | 37c | 1,009$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.76 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Murphy Cassone | 43c | 969.18$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Sebastian Ofner | 59c | 768.38$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…bdcfbacked Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 710.84$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.12 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Sebastian Ofner | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…4d66backed Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 653.87$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.47 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Sebastian Ofner | 61c | 651.63$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.63 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Sebastian Ofner | 79c | 623.14$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.24 | 425 | 58.8%250 W · 175 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Sebastian Ofner | 65c | 614$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.34 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Murphy Cassone | 40c | 513.88$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 418.01$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.01 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607b…b61dbacked Murphy Cassone | 40c | 417.44$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Murphy Cassone | 40c | 404.55$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.82 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Murphy Cassone | 38c | 398.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Murphy Cassone | 28c | 376.19$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.65 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Sebastian Ofner | 61c | 363$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.76 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 324.37$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.44 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Sebastian Ofner | 63c | 318.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.76 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…9dfdbacked Sebastian Ofner | 64c | 314.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.07 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Murphy Cassone | 42c | 295.56$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…dddfbacked Murphy Cassone | 18c | 245.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Sebastian Ofner | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Sebastian Ofner | 63c | 233.93$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.66 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Sebastian Ofner | 63c | 205$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Murphy Cassone | 40c | 188$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2f…a3d8backed Murphy Cassone | 19c | 176.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Sebastian Ofner | 60c | 174.76$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Sebastian Ofner | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Sebastian Ofner | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Sebastian Ofner | 61c | 163.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.31 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…1226backed Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 78 | 75.6%59 W · 19 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Murphy Cassone | 38c | 161.29$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa677…9beabacked Sebastian Ofner | 64c | 156.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Murphy Cassone | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Sebastian Ofner | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Murphy Cassone | 38c | 137.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Sebastian Ofner | 64c | 136.06$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 430 | 62.3%268 W · 162 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Murphy Cassone | 39c | 128.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Murphy Cassone | 39c | 126.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Murphy Cassone | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Sebastian Ofner | 58c | 124.14$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sebastian Ofner | 64c | 118.63$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Murphy Cassone | 43c | 115.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Sebastian Ofner | 61c | 115.16$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Murphy Cassone | 38c | 113.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Sebastian Ofner | 63c | 113$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Sebastian Ofner | 59c | 109.36$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Sebastian Ofner | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Sebastian Ofner | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 308 | 44.5%137 W · 171 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ac…a435backed Sebastian Ofner | 64c | 99.53$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Murphy Cassone | 37c | 99.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Murphy Cassone | 38c | 99.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Murphy Cassone | 41c | 80.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d3…2d0fbacked Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Murphy Cassone | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Murphy Cassone | 26c | 76.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Murphy Cassone | 30c | 75.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…717abacked Sebastian Ofner | 64c | 74.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Murphy Cassone | 42c | 68.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068a…6fe7backed Sebastian Ofner | 60c | 66.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Murphy Cassone | 30c | 62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Murphy Cassone | 40c | 62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…61dcbacked Sebastian Ofner | 73c | 61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 43 | 86%37 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Murphy Cassone | 31c | 61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Murphy Cassone | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e4…7310backed Murphy Cassone | 40c | 54.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Sebastian Ofner | 55c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…c029backed Sebastian Ofner | 57c | 47.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Sebastian Ofner | 63c | 46.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Sebastian Ofner | 60c | 41.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…8c36backed Sebastian Ofner | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Murphy Cassone | 30c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Sebastian Ofner | 76c | 36.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Murphy Cassone | 29c | 35.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Sebastian Ofner | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc871…2f76backed Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Sebastian Ofner | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Murphy Cassone | 34c | 31.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…4b66backed Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 30.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Murphy Cassone | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b8…692fbacked Sebastian Ofner | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Sebastian Ofner | 58c | 29.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 250 | 51.2%128 W · 122 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…2b01backed Sebastian Ofner | 61c | 29.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 29.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Sebastian Ofner | 74c | 27.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Sebastian Ofner | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 222 | 58.1%129 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thionville: Sebastian Ofner vs Murphy Cassonethis page
- Set 1 Winner: Ofner vs CassoneOfner won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.