TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
CF Montréalof Columbus Crew, CF Montréal
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,034
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,962

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,034 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4488…e319backed Columbus Crew33c3,653$1,199 inLost-$1,198.8617740.7%72 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed CF Montréal67c1,292$862 inWon+$430.533,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked CF Montréal67c999.99$670 inWon+$3302630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed CF Montréal71c713.13$508 inWon+$204.934042.5%17 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked CF Montréal68c630.7$429 inWon+$201.8233346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed CF Montréal67c445.68$299 inWon+$147.074755.3%26 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed CF Montréal66c429$283 inWon+$146.0114062.1%87 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Columbus Crew34c424$144 inLost-$144.1635550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Columbus Crew29c312.85$90 inLost-$90.171,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Columbus Crew12c192.11$23 inLost-$23.4338246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Columbus Crew36c180.95$66 inLost-$65.8952923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Columbus Crew27c136.86$37 inLost-$36.9552639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Columbus Crew28c95.55$27 inLost-$26.851,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Columbus Crew28c71.49$20 inLost-$20.023231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked CF Montréal67c64$43 inWon+$21.1227047%127 W · 143 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed CF Montréal67c47$31 inWon+$15.511,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Columbus Crew32c34.53$11 inLost-$11.054348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fd4…de15backed CF Montréal74c33.57$25 inWon+$8.73450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-34.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked CF Montréal67c32.43$22 inWon+$10.797146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed CF Montréal63c26.4$17 inWon+$9.7768150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked CF Montréal67c26$17 inWon+$8.5818456.5%104 W · 80 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed CF Montréal66c24.75$16 inWon+$8.517256.9%41 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed CF Montréal67c20.55$14 inWon+$6.7114957.7%86 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.