Asian League · resolved market
Will Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x142d2ceb7342d980270e144d8429a7604148757e25762cc8917c7bd3135bc468
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 78c | 5,577$4,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.02 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 29c | 3,288$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.39 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 2,511$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.24 | 387 | 49.6%192 W · 195 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 29c | 2,379$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.52 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 32c | 2,247$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.37 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 19c | 1,721$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.74 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 78c | 1,691$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.94 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 1,633$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.62 | 395 | 49.9%197 W · 198 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed No | 33c | 1,367$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.94 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +8.9wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 761.07$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.27 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 56c | 731.55$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.61 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 27c | 731.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 19c | 624.28$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.22 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 80c | 595.52$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.59 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 65c | 509.91$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.65 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 45c | 347.08$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.61 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -9.6wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 36c | 304.12$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.05 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 15c | 237.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked No | 9c | 211.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.12 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 77c | 208.68$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 200.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 38c | 193.8$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.26 | 225 | 48%108 W · 117 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 71c | 169.51$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 17c | 163.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yes | 67c | 156.94$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 79c | 154$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 50c | 148.19$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 23c | 143.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 69c | 142.06$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 434 | 52.1%226 W · 208 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 71c | 140.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 56c | 135.63$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.97 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 32c | 125.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 28c | 105$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 71c | 104.15$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…111abacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +357.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 75c | 94.48$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 29c | 93.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 41c | 76.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…0904backed Yes | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 36c | 62.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 261 | 48.7%127 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 71c | 56.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 45c | 56.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 70c | 51.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -46%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed No | 80c | 46.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked No | 53c | 46.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 29c | 44.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7f…6d8dbacked No | 38c | 41.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Yes | 49c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x468b…68a5backed No | 69c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed No | 78c | 37.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…01e3backed Yes | 29c | 34.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Yes | 32c | 31.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…5e33backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6a…c2ddbacked No | 45c | 28.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 28.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Yes | 40c | 26.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 74c | 18.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 73c | 18.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 562 | 45.4%255 W · 307 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed No | 80c | 17.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 80c | 16.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers end in a draw?this page
- Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-08-07?Yes won
- Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-08-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.