Premier League · resolved market
Will Stoke City FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x145107c6340dcfdd93437b4ce4ab3bd0e2750269e79b7d01ab8f54a23ff381c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 3,500$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.35 | 4,892 | 41.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L | +25.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 66c | 3,233$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.41 | 1,218 | 32.2%392 W · 826 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 2,944$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.38 | 6,225 | 45.6%2,836 W · 3,389 L | -34.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 39c | 2,747$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.56 | 1,028 | 36.2%372 W · 656 L | -19.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 23c | 1,641$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.91 | 601 | 47.8%287 W · 314 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 41c | 1,567$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.75 | 689 | 32.9%227 W · 462 L | -32.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 75c | 1,524$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.11 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 70c | 1,000$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.16 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 30c | 455.85$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.82 | 376 | 38.3%144 W · 232 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 436.56$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.68 | 1,383 | 48.3%668 W · 715 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 382.52$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.76 | 685 | 39.9%273 W · 412 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 64c | 270$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 27c | 253.24$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.86 | 749 | 50.7%380 W · 369 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8646…15adbacked Yes | 30c | 230$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 772 | 41.6%321 W · 451 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 129$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 1,713 | 52.8%905 W · 808 L | +31.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 31c | 126$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 34c | 65.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 68c | 61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Yes | 32c | 50.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 68c | 43.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 313 | 55.9%175 W · 138 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed No | 72c | 39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca00…848dbacked Yes | 55c | 34.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 72c | 23.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 78c | 17.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stoke City FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?this page
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-25?No won
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-08-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.