Premier League · resolved market
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-08-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc493acf66cc7bf591a3866f52eca85c221cbffbad56c5c7a059c12bee53815f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c55…4a8cbacked Yes | 41c | 20,439$8,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,474.37 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 51cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 57c | 9,937$5,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,272.89 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed No | 58c | 6,804$3,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,889.23 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 41c | 5,455$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.92 | 1,218 | 32.2%392 W · 826 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 60c | 2,386$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.58 | 878 | 48.3%424 W · 454 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 61c | 2,236$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.37 | 218 | 52.3%114 W · 104 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 859 | 52.7%453 W · 406 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 58c | 1,778$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.67 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 59c | 1,694$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.46 | 749 | 50.7%380 W · 369 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 1,604$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.16 | 6,225 | 45.6%2,836 W · 3,389 L | -34.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 1,555$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.7 | 1,383 | 48.3%668 W · 715 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 19c | 1,479$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.37 | 4,892 | 41.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L | +25.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes | 40c | 1,252$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 57c | 1,244$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.06 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Yes | 43c | 1,111$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.73 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 61c | 1,085$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.73 | 657 | 44.6%293 W · 364 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 66c | 1,014$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.89 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 358 | 28.8%103 W · 255 L | -19.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 60c | 814.13$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.65 | 601 | 47.8%287 W · 314 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 26c | 793.81$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.72 | 689 | 32.9%227 W · 462 L | -32.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 767.41$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.17 | 2,613 | 47.6%1,245 W · 1,368 L | +42.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 65c | 704.53$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.59 | 205 | 57.1%117 W · 88 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 43c | 525.53$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.98 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 42c | 493.19$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.75 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x487e…0d66backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 76c | 464.21$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.49 | 1,028 | 36.2%372 W · 656 L | -19.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed No | 66c | 457.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.24 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 353.72$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.38 | 685 | 39.9%273 W · 412 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 58c | 350.44$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.18 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab7…6978backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 57c | 264$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.52 | 1,821 | 34.6%630 W · 1,191 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 63c | 205.19$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.92 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 65c | 180.46$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 39c | 173.92$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 376 | 38.3%144 W · 232 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Yes | 35c | 168.69$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 59c | 155.16$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 369 | 51.2%189 W · 180 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 62c | 146.19$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf4…5324backed Yes | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 65c | 132.23$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 654 | 47.4%310 W · 344 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed No | 66c | 106.05$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 60c | 103$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 867 | 48.7%422 W · 445 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed Yes | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 34c | 97.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 37c | 89.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes | 15c | 77.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 43c | 66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 318 | 43.1%137 W · 181 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…e746backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 63c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 68c | 42.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…963ebacked Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Yes | 42c | 39.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 57c | 35.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…5b7fbacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Yes | 40c | 31.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 38c | 28.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02b9…60c6backed Yes | 35c | 28.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…cab4backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Yes | 42c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 63c | 18.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 1,713 | 52.8%905 W · 808 L | +31.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked No | 58c | 17.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35f5…d7c4backed No | 62c | 17.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bde…ecbabacked No | 78c | 13.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-08-25?this page
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-25?No won
- Will Stoke City FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.