Premier League · resolved market
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x261c0a246646e6df020247c22872ccefe0f71d7a9c70190437a4c170429bd6fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3170…c6a0backed Yes | 29c | 6,632$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 33c | 5,064$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.06 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…e424backed No | 67c | 4,160$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 3,656$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211 | 1,383 | 48.3%668 W · 715 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 29c | 2,288$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.64 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 1,451$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.4 | 4,892 | 41.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L | +25.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 71c | 1,382$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.36 | 1,218 | 32.2%392 W · 826 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 1,338$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.04 | 859 | 52.7%453 W · 406 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 1,081$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.53 | 1,328 | 42.4%563 W · 765 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 883.05$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.91 | 657 | 44.6%293 W · 364 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 840.39$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.71 | 749 | 50.7%380 W · 369 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 35c | 825.22$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.69 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 71c | 730.41$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.82 | 601 | 47.8%287 W · 314 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 19c | 674.95$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.53 | 689 | 32.9%227 W · 462 L | -32.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…de5ebacked Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 582.08$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.89 | 2,613 | 47.6%1,245 W · 1,368 L | +42.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c2…5741backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 64c | 402$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.72 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8646…15adbacked Yes | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 70c | 396.13$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.7 | 369 | 51.2%189 W · 180 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 29c | 375.6$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.92 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…1c65backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc857…a3d3backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -60%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 67c | 172$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.01 | 1,713 | 52.8%905 W · 808 L | +31.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 67c | 148.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 32c | 146.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed No | 70c | 110$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 36c | 105.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 376 | 38.3%144 W · 232 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked No | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 67c | 86.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 654 | 47.4%310 W · 344 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 70c | 59.89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 1,821 | 34.6%630 W · 1,191 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 66c | 58.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 55.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 1,028 | 36.2%372 W · 656 L | -19.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Yes | 38c | 52.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 49.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 685 | 39.9%273 W · 412 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba4…1528backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…31adbacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 72c | 33.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x818d…6b8bbacked Yes | 35c | 28.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +44%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 71c | 23.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-25?this page
- Will Stoke City FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-08-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.