MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x159fe5cbe2a3ed259506e4f70997ce986684bd8b5750ed69640f7f964a559aff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof Kiwoom Heroes, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ff…6754backed Kiwoom Heroes | 25c | 3,970$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed LG Twins | 75c | 2,142$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.84 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked LG Twins | 74c | 985.55$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.24 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 12c | 673.94$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Kiwoom Heroes | 25c | 495.44$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.86 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed LG Twins | 76c | 420$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98a…edffbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 24c | 399.94$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed LG Twins | 75c | 270.74$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed LG Twins | 79c | 232.18$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.11 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kiwoom Heroes | 17c | 180$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed LG Twins | 75c | 170.83$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Kiwoom Heroes | 23c | 132.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 14c | 131.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 127$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 13c | 126.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed LG Twins | 70c | 112$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked LG Twins | 75c | 111$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Kiwoom Heroes | 28c | 99.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 78.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed LG Twins | 75c | 64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kiwoom Heroes | 25c | 63.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 24c | 62.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked LG Twins | 76c | 54.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed LG Twins | 75c | 51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed LG Twins | 76c | 40.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea50…667dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed LG Twins | 77c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked LG Twins | 75c | 27.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed LG Twins | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4c…f414backed LG Twins | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed LG Twins | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed LG Twins | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e77…fb2bbacked LG Twins | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.