Lol · resolved market
LoL: 7REX vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15ac0251eec591f999c2e39ddb7b4f680dabf1998f5e6a9a0409507f91321def
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Estral Esportsof 7REX, Estral Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked 7REX | 16c | 3,986$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.84 | 247 | 41.3%102 W · 145 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x395f…dcacbacked 7REX | 17c | 1,284$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.05 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 7REX | 17c | 735.91$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.59 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 7REX | 16c | 727.06$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.76 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed 7REX | 17c | 655.29$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.83 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed 7REX | 17c | 474.59$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.44 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked 7REX | 7c | 364.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Estral Esports | 75c | 351$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.85 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed 7REX | 6c | 314.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…f87ebacked 7REX | 19c | 281.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed 7REX | 18c | 267.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked 7REX | 13c | 251.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 7REX | 19c | 199.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed 7REX | 20c | 174.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed 7REX | 19c | 166.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 439 | 47.6%209 W · 230 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…df06backed Estral Esports | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed 7REX | 11c | 145.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked 7REX | 20c | 139$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Estral Esports | 80c | 137.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed 7REX | 15c | 127.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked 7REX | 14c | 119.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed5…8165backed 7REX | 16c | 117.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 348 | 44.8%156 W · 192 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 7REX | 10c | 108.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 1,608 | 17.5%282 W · 1,326 L | -245.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked 7REX | 12c | 105.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 402 | 31.3%126 W · 276 L | -28.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba12…6a47backed Estral Esports | 79c | 101$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked 7REX | 11c | 96.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1,453 | 43.4%630 W · 823 L | +106.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed 7REX | 17c | 88.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70f…5de7backed 7REX | 15c | 85.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked 7REX | 20c | 72.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 373 | 45%168 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked 7REX | 19c | 72.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 305 | 45.2%138 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed 7REX | 28c | 72.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 780 | 43.1%336 W · 444 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked 7REX | 22c | 66.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 586 | 49.8%292 W · 294 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Estral Esports | 80c | 54.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed 7REX | 23c | 53.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 306 | 43.1%132 W · 174 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd166…666ebacked Estral Esports | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Estral Esports | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Estral Esports | 67c | 17.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | -33.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.