MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. KT Wiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15dd8784582f31c064835ab2ea9663b44a9bd2ff5b0e2298e5095629acb7e20a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof Samsung Lions, KT Wiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed KT Wiz | 39c | 2,020$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.6 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed KT Wiz | 47c | 1,162$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.11 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Samsung Lions | 28c | 1,099$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.82 | 752 | 44%331 W · 421 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 857.03$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.69 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KT Wiz | 72c | 707.77$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.75 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 567.5$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.11 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked KT Wiz | 73c | 544.4$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.44 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 533.59$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.67 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 444$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.4 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…dcbebacked KT Wiz | 71c | 329$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked KT Wiz | 80c | 326.27$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.38 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 324.23$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Samsung Lions | 32c | 259.23$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.51 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked KT Wiz | 57c | 248.91$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.14 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e5…264fbacked KT Wiz | 47c | 210.62$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.63 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed KT Wiz | 75c | 181.78$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KT Wiz | 74c | 172.86$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 149$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.89 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Samsung Lions | 18c | 136.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked KT Wiz | 58c | 118$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Samsung Lions | 16c | 108.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked KT Wiz | 63c | 105.32$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed KT Wiz | 64c | 91.41$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 779 | 52.1%406 W · 373 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 86.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…8d0abacked Samsung Lions | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed KT Wiz | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed KT Wiz | 40c | 64.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 881 | 47.8%421 W · 460 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…9befbacked KT Wiz | 73c | 59.92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Samsung Lions | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 50.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed KT Wiz | 43c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed KT Wiz | 80c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…516dbacked KT Wiz | 45c | 44.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…85e2backed Samsung Lions | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Samsung Lions | 48c | 41.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 193 | 35.8%69 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked KT Wiz | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed KT Wiz | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Samsung Lions | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed KT Wiz | 77c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed KT Wiz | 62c | 28.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 26.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Samsung Lions | 59c | 25.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed KT Wiz | 74c | 25.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 440 | 58.9%259 W · 181 L | +29.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed KT Wiz | 40c | 25.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb1…e1d6backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Samsung Lions | 61c | 24.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 23.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked KT Wiz | 66c | 23.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca7…e965backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 21.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Samsung Lions | 59c | 20.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 17.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 362 | 50.3%182 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed KT Wiz | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.