Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x163bcdd382717b25babe08ad3f17cbdbf5d6a5d3e93eb56c4ce7823735e178e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,541 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e7f…44d4backed No | 19c | 4,467$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.33 | 249 | 66.7%166 W · 83 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a66…a177backed No | 0c | 3,223$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6798…1bfdbacked No | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -60%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed No | 72c | 1,094$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.1 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2706…1f04backed Yes | 29c | 959.08$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07c2…7a17backed No | 8c | 838.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 26c | 720.07$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ea…c587backed Yes | 27c | 613.29$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.98 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86aa…eb33backed Yes | 39c | 583.2$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.62 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 43c | 507$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.93 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 30c | 474.45$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.21 | 358 | 43.9%157 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1b…e88cbacked No | 3c | 471$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 30c | 389.01$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.23 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…42a7backed No | 3c | 350.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 12c | 253.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…c9bcbacked No | 73c | 251.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.15 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 14c | 251.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.5 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 7c | 226.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 346 | 17.9%62 W · 284 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 22c | 220$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.32 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 20c | 217$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.39 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 19c | 206.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 24c | 204.37$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.01 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 79c | 195.3$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.66 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 28c | 176.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.25 | 769 | 24.3%187 W · 582 L | -16.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…15c2backed No | 76c | 160$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.91 | 173 | 64.7%112 W · 61 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed No | 78c | 156.74$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.26 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8682…24e5backed No | 71c | 151.64$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.84 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 38c | 136.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed No | 72c | 129.97$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.68 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 29c | 117.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.65 | 328 | 18.3%60 W · 268 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 18c | 114.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 21c | 105.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 27c | 104.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.8 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…af27backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 174 | 33.9%59 W · 115 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17f…b558backed Yes | 19c | 99.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 27c | 98.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…f1b1backed Yes | 29c | 96.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.46 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8091…3178backed Yes | 18c | 88.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.04 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…0086backed Yes | 20c | 88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.03 | 164 | 34.1%56 W · 108 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…9ababacked No | 80c | 87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -10.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 48c | 86.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 45c | 81.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…1ea1backed Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…9a63backed Yes | 19c | 79.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 740 | 23.9%177 W · 563 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…7926backed No | 75c | 78.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 423 | 15.4%65 W · 358 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 24c | 77.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.11 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…3de8backed Yes | 22c | 68.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 685 | 21.5%147 W · 538 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c5…9e8abacked Yes | 15c | 66.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 213 | 33.8%72 W · 141 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0b…7132backed No | 23c | 66.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 71c | 65.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 71c | 63.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed No | 78c | 61.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 62c | 60.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…a7c5backed No | 71c | 56.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 18c | 56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 497 | 50.3%250 W · 247 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 24c | 51.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…5443backed Yes | 23c | 50.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…e4c5backed No | 78c | 47.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 37c | 46.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 79c | 44.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe573…ae05backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 52c | 37.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…9410backed No | 70c | 36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1b…4f09backed Yes | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…50ebbacked No | 79c | 35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 315 | 67%211 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcce…65afbacked No | 78c | 32.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 277 | 71.5%198 W · 79 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2753…e28abacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 420 | 61.2%257 W · 163 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaba1…ac85backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…b923backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce0c…9c24backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 70c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…ac89backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…2073backed No | 76c | 19.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 78c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…4ff1backed No | 76c | 16.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 295 | 58%171 W · 124 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…1b3fbacked No | 70c | 15.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x358b…3722backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 525 | 33.1%174 W · 351 L | +21.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fe…3656backed No | 78c | 14.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…e119backed No | 73c | 14.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…3e65backed No | 76c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on March 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 88°F or higher on March 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.