Cricket · resolved market
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16c01843ab95b96ca0b0655b758da983db7ea58a6086a32a392081284ee72c4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiaof India, Afghanistan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $476,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $584,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $476,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Afghanistan | 7c | 28,571$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.79 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Afghanistan | 9c | 23,094$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.61 | 261 | 30.7%80 W · 181 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…d70abacked Afghanistan | 11c | 19,342$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.03 | 364 | 45.6%166 W · 198 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked Afghanistan | 8c | 17,940$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.81 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…4f2bbacked Afghanistan | 13c | 17,767$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.34 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Afghanistan | 13c | 16,830$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.45 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0389…847bbacked Afghanistan | 13c | 16,292$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.65 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…1686backed Afghanistan | 14c | 12,491$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.72 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed Afghanistan | 9c | 11,572$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.09 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…7d7dbacked Afghanistan | 10c | 10,988$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.01 | 328 | 46.3%152 W · 176 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5986…73dcbacked Afghanistan | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Afghanistan | 9c | 8,760$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.67 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x296d…2aa3backed Afghanistan | 11c | 5,300$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.67 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9104…c269backed Afghanistan | 13c | 5,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 140 | 70.7%99 W · 41 L | +21.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Afghanistan | 12c | 4,342$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Afghanistan | 12c | 4,167$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Afghanistan | 8c | 4,075$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.52 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Afghanistan | 10c | 3,800$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Afghanistan | 12c | 2,682$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.18 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7090…a5ffbacked Afghanistan | 8c | 2,550$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.83 | 214 | 39.7%85 W · 129 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Afghanistan | 11c | 2,533$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.76 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Afghanistan | 8c | 2,375$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.29 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f41…e6aebacked Afghanistan | 11c | 2,373$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb9…3862backed Afghanistan | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb5…73b8backed Afghanistan | 13c | 1,910$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.23 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed Afghanistan | 9c | 1,600$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…dff7backed Afghanistan | 9c | 1,339$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.54 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Afghanistan | 11c | 1,205$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.69 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Afghanistan | 8c | 1,177$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 270 | 29.6%80 W · 190 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7719backed Afghanistan | 8c | 1,080$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…6275backed Afghanistan | 12c | 1,053$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.39 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…d0ecbacked Afghanistan | 11c | 1,010$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.7 | 134 | 18.7%25 W · 109 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Afghanistan | 11c | 915.67$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.51 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…5291backed Afghanistan | 9c | 806.92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Afghanistan | 6c | 775.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Afghanistan | 10c | 725.31$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.53 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Afghanistan | 11c | 665$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3483…4637backed Afghanistan | 8c | 599.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 27.1%23 W · 62 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Afghanistan | 9c | 550$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Afghanistan | 10c | 483.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Afghanistan | 10c | 461.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Afghanistan | 12c | 440.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Afghanistan | 12c | 318.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Afghanistan | 13c | 305$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Afghanistan | 10c | 295.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9414…0c42backed Afghanistan | 4c | 260.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4097…720bbacked Afghanistan | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Afghanistan | 7c | 243.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Afghanistan | 11c | 199.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9666…2830backed Afghanistan | 13c | 185.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa998…5c2abacked Afghanistan | 12c | 164.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee7a…b20abacked Afghanistan | 11c | 159.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…6eaabacked Afghanistan | 10c | 154.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…0bdabacked Afghanistan | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…ac49backed Afghanistan | 11c | 136.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Afghanistan | 11c | 135.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd746…0e4dbacked Afghanistan | 14c | 128.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…50febacked Afghanistan | 14c | 128.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…d9f5backed Afghanistan | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0610…9268backed Afghanistan | 12c | 122.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Afghanistan | 13c | 119.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb6…a2fcbacked Afghanistan | 14c | 107.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fa…040ebacked Afghanistan | 10c | 105.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…1b48backed Afghanistan | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…6e22backed Afghanistan | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.