TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Tucuman: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeidaof Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez, Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,331
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,976

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,331 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez34c3,000$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.953,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez9c2,943$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.378,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez1c1,680$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.67811.5%9 W · 69 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+74.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez23c1,214$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.83,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez12c1,150$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13531436.9%116 W · 198 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez27c1,110$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.771,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9201…e578backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida64c997$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.925058%29 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez30c839.95$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.1847854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida73c771.24$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.53,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd357…c7a0backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez7c682.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502030%6 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez31c499.99$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.832,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez27c463.75$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida70c457.58$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2778152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez6c419.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.172,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez28c399.99$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.71,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez17c351.91$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.748,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida67c300.61$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.612,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida64c265.63$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6322235.1%78 W · 144 L+1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez26c242.28$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0132031.3%100 W · 220 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida69c235.48$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.841,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez26c209$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.191,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida69c207.23$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2437944.6%169 W · 210 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ad8…b8dbbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida64c207.22$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.66051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5834154.3%185 W · 156 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x890a…7623backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5024975.5%188 W · 61 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida75c196.43$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.416,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida71c181$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4973748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez29c179.52$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida71c178$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6238952.2%203 W · 186 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a2…8ff7backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida71c155$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9539443.9%173 W · 221 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xffef…dabfbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida74c142$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9215754.8%86 W · 71 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8569253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida74c133.34$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.181,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez30c116.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez27c111.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.241,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida75c103.67$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.396,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c97…5c66backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3048355.1%266 W · 217 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc2…bf53backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida69c93.88$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.11952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida69c85.56$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5289859.7%536 W · 362 L+2.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez29c85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.651,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida65c82.51$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.034,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4694255.8%526 W · 416 L+19.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida64c72.19$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9999056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaef9…9b3dbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida71c71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.593754.1%20 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez27c64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2858453.1%310 W · 274 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida64c62.81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.612,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez29c58.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.023,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida74c57.6$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.113,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez25c51.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.081,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez30c50.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.213,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida70c49.59$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.781,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7f2b…0be8backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.883053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f7…a181backed Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez30c43.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351347%241 W · 272 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a4…cdb9backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida75c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.87981%64 W · 15 L+15.0wins+0.19per pick62cpaid+29.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida75c34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.592674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8951…dfcfbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida70c31.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5725858.1%150 W · 108 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida69c31.07$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6322255.4%123 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.943750.3%220 W · 217 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida71c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4134560%207 W · 138 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb868…5e23backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida69c28.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.715651.8%29 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9081…8a6ebacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida78c25.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.641768.1%284 W · 133 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e0b…1435backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida72c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739035.9%140 W · 250 L-61.1wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x0cf8…75e4backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida63c20.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6319343.5%84 W · 109 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida75c19.49$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.782,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.