Tennis · resolved market
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x171d0f09246862fa6a0a104453fd2c792160917408f8a6e02b00105319e27823
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Perricardof Fritz, Perricard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Perricard | 74c | 11,114$8,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,911.13 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8f…ef1bbacked Fritz | 80c | 5,335$4,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,268 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Perricard | 23c | 4,248$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,265.65 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Perricard | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Perricard | 38c | 3,314$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.64 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Perricard | 27c | 3,137$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.91 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Perricard | 19c | 3,029$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.64 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Perricard | 20c | 2,587$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.4 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…d849backed Fritz | 41c | 2,365$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Fritz | 49c | 1,799$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.2 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9b…211dbacked Fritz | 76c | 1,591$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.22 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Fritz | 78c | 1,280$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fritz | 43c | 1,240$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.14 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Perricard | 25c | 1,204$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.24 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Fritz | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Perricard | 21c | 999.51$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.43 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Perricard | 22c | 941.07$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.07 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Fritz | 42c | 784.37$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.52 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Perricard | 20c | 700$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Fritz | 50c | 591.92$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.21 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Perricard | 44c | 540.53$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.47 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Perricard | 21c | 535.98$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.29 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…d3fdbacked Fritz | 79c | 482.75$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Perricard | 76c | 460.86$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.71 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Perricard | 22c | 302.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.37 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e67…91b0backed Fritz | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Fritz | 13c | 240$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…1485backed Perricard | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Fritz | 49c | 202.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Perricard | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa263…6cf0backed Fritz | 55c | 188.44$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.64 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Perricard | 63c | 182.94$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc286…d936backed Perricard | 23c | 180$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.3 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Fritz | 67c | 149.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Fritz | 64c | 140.59$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.38 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Fritz | 51c | 138.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Fritz | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Fritz | 44c | 125.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Fritz | 79c | 113.92$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Perricard | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Perricard | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Fritz | 50c | 99.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Perricard | 22c | 95.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +139.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Perricard | 22c | 91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f11…da05backed Fritz | 79c | 90.22$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Fritz | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed Fritz | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Perricard | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Perricard | 42c | 57.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Perricard | 56c | 54.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Fritz | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Perricard | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Perricard | 35c | 43.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Fritz | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…66b2backed Fritz | 79c | 18.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.