TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Andres Andrade vs Colton Smith

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Colton Smithof Andres Andrade, Colton Smith
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,243
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,641

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,243 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32b4…8b21backed Colton Smith49c11,943$5,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,058.013,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c50…e0c9backed Andres Andrade28c10,714$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00042131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Andres Andrade10c7,488$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.2611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Colton Smith73c6,174$4,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.428,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Andres Andrade16c5,817$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.63,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Andres Andrade52c4,457$2,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,321.154,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb148…9355backed Colton Smith65c3,120$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.881553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Andres Andrade52c3,065$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5842,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb242…4312backed Andres Andrade28c1,945$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.52120%0 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Andres Andrade5c1,757$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.73,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Andres Andrade19c1,755$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.094,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Andres Andrade18c1,325$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.495,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Colton Smith69c1,300$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40319052.1%99 W · 91 L-12.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed Andres Andrade9c1,276$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12038911.6%45 W · 344 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Andres Andrade24c1,250$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027732.5%90 W · 187 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Andres Andrade9c1,150$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.818,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Andres Andrade52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52043950.8%223 W · 216 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Colton Smith54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4606823.5%16 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-37.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xef3a…1eb3backed Andres Andrade16c939.88$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017941.3%74 W · 105 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2e8…c60ebacked Andres Andrade53c821.97$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.5637460.4%226 W · 148 L+29.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Andres Andrade53c698.94$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.4439759.4%236 W · 161 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50b9…4467backed Andres Andrade19c684.81$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13038033.9%129 W · 251 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa599…5230backed Andres Andrade4c657.95$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.436121.3%13 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Andres Andrade35c550.51$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.6863252.8%334 W · 298 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf96d…20bebacked Andres Andrade14c503.64$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5148214.1%68 W · 414 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Andres Andrade35c488.38$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.472,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb3e…b9c5backed Andres Andrade53c437.09$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.6635558.6%208 W · 147 L+19.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a01…1a3cbacked Andres Andrade7c427.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.918442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Andres Andrade30c417.72$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12431436.9%116 W · 198 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Andres Andrade19c400$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7636435.2%128 W · 236 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Colton Smith74c379.81$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.759,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Andres Andrade19c353.09$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.372,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92c8…45f6backed Andres Andrade23c335.81$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8722544.4%100 W · 125 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Andres Andrade19c331.38$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.332,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1b4c…d6a2backed Andres Andrade11c278$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.584124.4%10 W · 31 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Colton Smith47c253.28$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.244,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d1…2f08backed Andres Andrade24c250.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5212544.8%56 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe06a…ca30backed Andres Andrade29c239.36$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.415032%16 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e2…4b92backed Andres Andrade36c223.72$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5810638.7%41 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Colton Smith61c208.49$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.3146453%246 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bef…ffd3backed Andres Andrade9c204.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Andres Andrade28c199.79$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.091,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Colton Smith66c193.86$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.911,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Andres Andrade9c158.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.881,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Colton Smith78c151.93$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.421,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Colton Smith75c142.03$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0480341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Colton Smith79c140.71$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9296945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb873…8debbacked Andres Andrade8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10137.7%1 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.26per pick33cpaid-88%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Colton Smith69c120.29$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2926847%126 W · 142 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Colton Smith79c120.03$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.716,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Andres Andrade31c106.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3385348.9%417 W · 436 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Andres Andrade21c106$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.261,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Andres Andrade19c106$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.142,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Andres Andrade22c105.29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.478,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Andres Andrade20c88.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.221,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Colton Smith69c83.19$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7930746.3%142 W · 165 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Andres Andrade40c81.76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.553,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Andres Andrade52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.61,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Andres Andrade16c76.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.521,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x02c7…3c0dbacked Colton Smith69c75.2$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.37450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Andres Andrade52c73.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9916746.1%77 W · 90 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd82…6a10backed Colton Smith76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7928557.9%165 W · 120 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Colton Smith56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.444949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Andres Andrade24c57.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9255748.8%272 W · 285 L+23.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0608…4711backed Andres Andrade36c55.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe8b…5e62backed Andres Andrade41c53.66$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2223932.6%78 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Andres Andrade31c51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8162727.3%171 W · 456 L-15.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ea…4ce1backed Colton Smith61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Colton Smith72c48.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3435444.6%158 W · 196 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cde…96e2backed Colton Smith76c44.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.684757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+30.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x46ae…3245backed Andres Andrade38c39.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcec8…4bedbacked Colton Smith77c38.3$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8112149.6%60 W · 61 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e72…d0b9backed Andres Andrade42c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1270729.1%206 W · 501 L+0.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed Colton Smith56c35.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.916157.4%35 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked Andres Andrade39c35.55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7534729.4%102 W · 245 L-35.6wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-35.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Colton Smith76c34.81$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.351,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Colton Smith58c27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.341,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2176…bc30backed Colton Smith80c26.66$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.363759.5%22 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ad6…eed6backed Colton Smith80c26.66$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.361770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Colton Smith77c16.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.743661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc93d…23d5backed Colton Smith67c15.68$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1324748.6%120 W · 127 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef2c…be40backed Colton Smith68c14.71$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.717958.2%46 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.