TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: LUA Gaming vs Team Heretics Academy - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Team Heretics Academyof LUA Gaming, Team Heretics Academy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,859
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,073

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,859 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba43…c6c0backed LUA Gaming9c26,340$2,371 inLost-$2,370.6417348%83 W · 90 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf48…36c2backed LUA Gaming8c6,799$578 inLost-$577.6512226.2%32 W · 90 L-11.8wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed LUA Gaming9c4,454$397 inLost-$397.4120036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed LUA Gaming9c2,652$230 inLost-$229.672,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked LUA Gaming9c2,650$236 inLost-$236.1624434.4%84 W · 160 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed LUA Gaming8c2,625$213 inLost-$212.8835442.1%149 W · 205 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed LUA Gaming9c2,457$210 inLost-$209.811428.9%33 W · 81 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x16db…ac64backed LUA Gaming9c1,747$159 inLost-$159.1724323%56 W · 187 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed LUA Gaming9c1,680$144 inLost-$144.2228235.1%99 W · 183 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked LUA Gaming10c765$77 inLost-$76.52,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked LUA Gaming9c652.8$59 inLost-$58.7566843%287 W · 381 L-29.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed LUA Gaming10c600$60 inLost-$6020631.6%65 W · 141 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed LUA Gaming9c556.67$50 inLost-$5030621.2%65 W · 241 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked LUA Gaming10c532.19$51 inLost-$51.3866845.5%304 W · 364 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked LUA Gaming9c497.27$44 inLost-$43.8324535.9%88 W · 157 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked LUA Gaming9c411.6$37 inLost-$37.041,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae22…3ab3backed LUA Gaming8c378.25$30 inLost-$30.487027.1%19 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-34.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked LUA Gaming8c362.11$30 inLost-$30.221,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6c…0c16backed LUA Gaming10c361.5$36 inLost-$363724.3%9 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-45%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked LUA Gaming5c299.99$15 inLost-$1560243.4%261 W · 341 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9214…ddbfbacked LUA Gaming16c250.29$40 inLost-$39.8336552.6%192 W · 173 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked LUA Gaming10c225$22 inLost-$22.2685849.5%425 W · 433 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed LUA Gaming6c223.96$13 inLost-$13.442,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked LUA Gaming11c222.38$24 inLost-$23.721,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed LUA Gaming7c215.3$15 inLost-$14.681,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked LUA Gaming10c211.34$21 inLost-$21.1385742.7%366 W · 491 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed LUA Gaming16c210.95$33 inLost-$33.111,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed LUA Gaming11c209.09$23 inLost-$2328638.1%109 W · 177 L-14.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc4b…ecc5backed LUA Gaming8c192.51$15 inLost-$14.92454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe197…71ebbacked LUA Gaming10c178.01$18 inLost-$17.827745.8%127 W · 150 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10ae…df49backed LUA Gaming9c170$15 inLost-$15.323332.6%76 W · 157 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed LUA Gaming9c161$15 inLost-$15.151,05746.1%487 W · 570 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked LUA Gaming10c156.54$15 inLost-$15.3594444.4%419 W · 525 L-31.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed LUA Gaming9c153$13 inLost-$13.2769041.3%285 W · 405 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d20…5c21backed LUA Gaming10c122.48$12 inLost-$121428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick47cpaid+11.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b39…8b50backed LUA Gaming10c100$10 inLost-$1044850.7%227 W · 221 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed LUA Gaming10c100$10 inLost-$1057349.4%283 W · 290 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed LUA Gaming11c89.97$10 inLost-$10.262,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.