TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: LUA Gaming vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Season

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Team Heretics Academyof LUA Gaming, Team Heretics Academy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,591
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,175

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,591 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked LUA Gaming4c16,068$647 inLost-$646.5754934.8%191 W · 358 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked LUA Gaming4c4,122$163 inLost-$162.88943.8%39 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed LUA Gaming3c3,198$112 inLost-$111.843837.9%166 W · 272 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39ea…f75bbacked LUA Gaming5c2,083$102 inLost-$102.089751.5%50 W · 47 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed LUA Gaming3c1,797$52 inLost-$52.111,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12e3…7982backed LUA Gaming2c1,500$30 inLost-$301315.4%2 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick2cpaid+669.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked LUA Gaming2c1,500$30 inLost-$306622.7%15 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick28cpaid+16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed LUA Gaming5c1,426$69 inLost-$68.552,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed LUA Gaming3c1,252$38 inLost-$37.5611860.2%71 W · 47 L+12.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+44.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked LUA Gaming6c1,041$62 inLost-$62.0738931.9%124 W · 265 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked LUA Gaming1c1,000$10 inLost-$104314.9%21 W · 410 L-1.8wins0.00per pick5cpaid-86.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed LUA Gaming3c989.6$29 inLost-$28.741133.8%139 W · 272 L-28.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed LUA Gaming5c987.22$45 inLost-$44.771,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabe6…2faebacked LUA Gaming4c727.99$30 inLost-$30.196942%29 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed LUA Gaming5c578.08$30 inLost-$3030621.2%65 W · 241 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed LUA Gaming5c550$26 inLost-$26.420036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed LUA Gaming4c536$19 inLost-$18.7646050.7%233 W · 227 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked LUA Gaming3c466.39$12 inLost-$11.72147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick17cpaid-59.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed LUA Gaming3c413.19$14 inLost-$1460855.8%339 W · 269 L-14.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked LUA Gaming4c339.95$15 inLost-$1513429.1%39 W · 95 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaa…6abebacked LUA Gaming3c293.74$10 inLost-$10.191136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa6…2663backed LUA Gaming5c266.42$12 inLost-$12.26944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f38…a0edbacked LUA Gaming4c250$10 inLost-$106852.9%36 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9702…ca89backed LUA Gaming7c203.78$14 inLost-$13.9760%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.