Lol · resolved market
LoL: LUA Gaming vs Team Heretics Academy - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bb2786f7ecb9784fb75dbf7541c920f633f8b4a490a5bd111b9dcfe57291ddf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Heretics Academyof LUA Gaming, Team Heretics Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed LUA Gaming | 8c | 5,190$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.96 | 122 | 26.2%32 W · 90 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed LUA Gaming | 9c | 2,927$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.75 | 411 | 33.8%139 W · 272 L | -28.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed LUA Gaming | 9c | 1,656$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.3 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed LUA Gaming | 8c | 1,500$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed LUA Gaming | 9c | 1,441$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.46 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed LUA Gaming | 9c | 1,332$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.47 | 282 | 35.1%99 W · 183 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed LUA Gaming | 5c | 995.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 407 | 26.8%109 W · 298 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked LUA Gaming | 13c | 932.08$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.03 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…2d85backed LUA Gaming | 12c | 844.12$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.22 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed LUA Gaming | 2c | 828.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae0…8661backed LUA Gaming | 9c | 695.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 359 | 43.5%156 W · 203 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…3ab3backed LUA Gaming | 7c | 604.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked LUA Gaming | 8c | 562.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 668 | 43%287 W · 381 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed LUA Gaming | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 306 | 21.2%65 W · 241 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked LUA Gaming | 9c | 534.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LUA Gaming | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked LUA Gaming | 5c | 289.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed LUA Gaming | 17c | 249.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed LUA Gaming | 6c | 235.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 354 | 42.1%149 W · 205 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked LUA Gaming | 16c | 218.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Heretics Academy | 73c | 200.5$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed LUA Gaming | 18c | 188$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed LUA Gaming | 11c | 179.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 777 | 46.2%359 W · 418 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…67cbbacked LUA Gaming | 11c | 138.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Team Heretics Academy | 71c | 129.72$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Heretics Academy | 78c | 126$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed LUA Gaming | 12c | 106.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 420 | 55%231 W · 189 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…df49backed LUA Gaming | 23c | 101$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 233 | 32.6%76 W · 157 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Heretics Academy | 78c | 39.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Team Heretics Academy | 80c | 28.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 460 | 58%267 W · 193 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Heretics Academy | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Team Heretics Academy | 79c | 12.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.67 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LUA Gaming vs Team Heretics Academy - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs LUA Gaming (+1.5)Team Heretics Academy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: LUA Gaming vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonTeam Heretics Academy won
- LoL: LUA Gaming vs Team Heretics Academy - Game 2 WinnerTeam Heretics Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.