Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18c237b2ba3b330052c0304c7df204c677a8eccaf4b94f49191d3cfcdc1144f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 35c | 2,413$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.62 | 2,434 | 37.3%909 W · 1,525 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 65c | 1,710$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.82 | 1,219 | 36.3%442 W · 777 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 64c | 1,428$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.52 | 760 | 37.4%284 W · 476 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 36c | 466.35$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.63 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 36c | 382.73$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.48 | 1,041 | 48%500 W · 541 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00c…8154backed Yes | 65c | 309.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.65 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 36c | 306.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.38 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 35c | 228.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.83 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 65c | 225$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 35c | 165.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38bd…b8f3backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 63c | 151.79$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea88…261abacked Yes | 65c | 151.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 36c | 111.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 277 | 37.9%105 W · 172 L | -17.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 35c | 89.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 65c | 86.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed No | 36c | 65.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 67c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…e85dbacked No | 40c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 35c | 34.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 37c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…5fdbbacked Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc769…773cbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…4a90backed Yes | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda: FC Viktoria Plzeň O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 5.5Under won
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda: Team to AdvanceFC Viktoria Plzeň won
- Spread: FC Viktoria Plzeň (-1.5)FC Viktoria Plzeň won
- Spread: FC Viktoria Plzeň (-2.5)FC Viktoria Plzeň won
- Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-1.5)FC Viktoria Plzeň won
- Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-2.5)FC Viktoria Plzeň won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.