Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e60cf20b7239bd62c5740d77b39f40a8a630448e11c6583a2ca6d36dab8dd9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 60c | 3,278$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.55 | 1,219 | 36.3%442 W · 777 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 25c | 2,664$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.76 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 76c | 2,598$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.25 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 47c | 2,344$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.39 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a39…b0b9backed Under | 59c | 1,227$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 1,056$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.56 | 2,434 | 37.3%909 W · 1,525 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 40c | 730$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 68c | 693.02$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.9 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Over | 64c | 548.27$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.64 | 180 | 37.8%68 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 33c | 328$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.44 | 838 | 45%377 W · 461 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Over | 65c | 214.21$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.65 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 40c | 198.15$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.01 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 34c | 173.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 46c | 172.82$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 388 | 55.4%215 W · 173 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 41c | 136.85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.29 | 760 | 37.4%284 W · 476 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 40c | 129$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Under | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 222 | 37.8%84 W · 138 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 32c | 83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 408 | 44.4%181 W · 227 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 31c | 78.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 205 | 43.9%90 W · 115 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 61c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 39c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 308 | 51%157 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 32c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 537 | 47.9%257 W · 280 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 40c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -25.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 186 | 59.1%110 W · 76 L | +20.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 38c | 26.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 331 | 42.9%142 W · 189 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Under | 62c | 26.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 65c | 20.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda: FC Viktoria Plzeň O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 5.5Under won
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FK Crvena zvezda: Team to AdvanceFC Viktoria Plzeň won
- Spread: FC Viktoria Plzeň (-1.5)FC Viktoria Plzeň won
- Spread: FC Viktoria Plzeň (-2.5)FC Viktoria Plzeň won
- Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-1.5)FC Viktoria Plzeň won
- Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-2.5)FC Viktoria Plzeň won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.