Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x190b7a505e2a6cc7b67d728be1f00fd45af5534dd28a01c5a403abb7df80be67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof Pipsqueak+4, L1ga Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,670 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe491…ccd1backed Pipsqueak+4 | 14c | 5,334$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.89 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed L1ga Team | 45c | 4,324$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.6 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Pipsqueak+4 | 0c | 3,945$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Pipsqueak+4 | 37c | 2,099$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.55 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Pipsqueak+4 | 57c | 1,867$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.37 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked L1ga Team | 65c | 1,314$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.98 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Pipsqueak+4 | 53c | 919.37$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.29 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Pipsqueak+4 | 44c | 909.28$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.04 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Pipsqueak+4 | 41c | 896.01$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.65 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed L1ga Team | 57c | 866.55$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.8 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x688e…148dbacked L1ga Team | 58c | 862.83$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.83 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed L1ga Team | 71c | 840.96$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.94 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked L1ga Team | 74c | 800.36$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.36 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked L1ga Team | 52c | 718.74$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.92 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed L1ga Team | 39c | 706.48$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 52c | 670$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.7 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed L1ga Team | 51c | 593.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.04 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Pipsqueak+4 | 54c | 560.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…f53cbacked L1ga Team | 52c | 560$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…acc3backed Pipsqueak+4 | 47c | 560$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f0…67c9backed L1ga Team | 52c | 550$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd8…2213backed Pipsqueak+4 | 47c | 550$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Pipsqueak+4 | 54c | 533.87$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.18 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed L1ga Team | 40c | 533.55$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.85 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 55c | 456.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked L1ga Team | 59c | 437.72$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.52 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked L1ga Team | 42c | 426.63$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.63 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed L1ga Team | 47c | 420$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.17 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Pipsqueak+4 | 54c | 403.23$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.78 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 56c | 380.52$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.49 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Pipsqueak+4 | 35c | 376.14$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.57 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 48c | 330.37$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed L1ga Team | 54c | 322.56$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.39 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Pipsqueak+4 | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 173 | 23.1%40 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Pipsqueak+4 | 57c | 298.02$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.87 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed L1ga Team | 48c | 292.96$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.46 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed Pipsqueak+4 | 56c | 283.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Pipsqueak+4 | 54c | 279.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed L1ga Team | 64c | 229.3$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.54 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Pipsqueak+4 | 45c | 224.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Pipsqueak+4 | 63c | 221.58$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.56 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…44a3backed Pipsqueak+4 | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed L1ga Team | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Pipsqueak+4 | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed L1ga Team | 60c | 197.04$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.93 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Pipsqueak+4 | 31c | 182.36$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Pipsqueak+4 | 58c | 137.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.62 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed L1ga Team | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 52c | 109.57$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked L1ga Team | 38c | 107.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked L1ga Team | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…a364backed Pipsqueak+4 | 53c | 90.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed L1ga Team | 48c | 83.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d66…aa07backed Pipsqueak+4 | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pipsqueak+4 | 28c | 75.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Pipsqueak+4 | 51c | 73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Pipsqueak+4 | 39c | 70.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x458d…8a59backed Pipsqueak+4 | 21c | 69.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff93…91bfbacked L1ga Team | 53c | 61.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked L1ga Team | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Pipsqueak+4 | 57c | 55.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 47c | 54.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked L1ga Team | 72c | 53.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Pipsqueak+4 | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf755…8e37backed Pipsqueak+4 | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed L1ga Team | 42c | 36.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed L1ga Team | 37c | 32.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Pipsqueak+4 | 45c | 31.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3091…748dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 53c | 20.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f9…a6b2backed L1ga Team | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76a5…555cbacked L1ga Team | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…c9bcbacked L1ga Team | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs L1ga Team (BO3) - CCT PlayoffsL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs L1ga Team - Game 1 WinnerL1ga Team won
- Game Handicap: Pipsqueak+4 (-1.5) vs L1ga Team (+1.5)L1ga Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.