TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs L1ga Team (BO3) - CCT Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
L1ga Teamof Pipsqueak+4, L1ga Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,730

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,730 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x618d…7e3abacked Pipsqueak+449c3,350$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e70…7ca1backed L1ga Team51c3,350$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,641.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a66…02b7backed Pipsqueak+449c3,217$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,578.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2042…35e1backed L1ga Team51c3,217$1,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Pipsqueak+452c1,928$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020367%136 W · 67 L+14.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked L1ga Team72c1,190$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.8535461.3%217 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Pipsqueak+448c1,141$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.9923653%125 W · 111 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Pipsqueak+41c1,100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116169.7%60 W · 556 L-2.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Pipsqueak+438c1,022$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.667440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfadf…dda0backed Pipsqueak+440c994.66$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.129245.9%134 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked L1ga Team48c890.46$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.872,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pipsqueak+423c889.49$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.922,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed L1ga Team51c847.29$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.8246649.8%232 W · 234 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed L1ga Team80c719.39$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.4112156.2%68 W · 53 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pipsqueak+435c607.08$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.4973841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked L1ga Team49c594.45$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.9160542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe944…650cbacked Pipsqueak+455c567.09$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pipsqueak+449c548.8$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.581,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0b4…834ebacked L1ga Team74c537.28$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.28580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked L1ga Team72c499.92$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9819251.6%99 W · 93 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed L1ga Team50c497.66$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.663333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed L1ga Team49c480.4$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.491,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed L1ga Team50c452.02$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.0110136.6%37 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Pipsqueak+443c398.89$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.8934045.9%156 W · 184 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a2…5dfebacked L1ga Team52c385.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.381637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed L1ga Team53c378.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.214849.3%73 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc332…59a9backed L1ga Team65c328.91$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.49966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef93…9f0dbacked Pipsqueak+449c315.09$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.39425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb79…6274backed L1ga Team76c278.18$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2517152%89 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Pipsqueak+430c259.43$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1870052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed L1ga Team62c233.62$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.627451.4%38 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked L1ga Team44c219.4$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.8656243.2%243 W · 319 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf82c…0f6fbacked Pipsqueak+448c210.08$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.851050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed L1ga Team64c207.06$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8234063.2%215 W · 125 L+38.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9512…a3d7backed Pipsqueak+450c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-42%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked L1ga Team52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Pipsqueak+450c198.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023347.2%110 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b9…0a9bbacked Pipsqueak+451c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010156.4%57 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4eec…14c8backed Pipsqueak+414c190.33$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6230%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked L1ga Team51c180$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.22245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x597d…b97dbacked L1ga Team69c177.55$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0420738.6%80 W · 127 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea49…434fbacked Pipsqueak+437c174.93$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.297157.7%41 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Pipsqueak+441c173.64$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5951751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c1e…e503backed L1ga Team51c167.93$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.29616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed L1ga Team72c148.26$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4266662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x16d2…a07abacked L1ga Team51c147.42$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed Pipsqueak+445c144$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4648352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb75c…3fffbacked Pipsqueak+449c143$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Pipsqueak+450c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707657.9%44 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Pipsqueak+448c139.65$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.61,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Pipsqueak+425c136.08$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.852025%5 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-44.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74e3…59cdbacked L1ga Team74c135.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.927100%7 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+69.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed L1ga Team52c134.71$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6614048.6%68 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed Pipsqueak+435c129.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.513138.9%51 W · 80 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed L1ga Team68c125$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7713733.6%46 W · 91 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed L1ga Team50c121.96$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1418739%73 W · 114 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed L1ga Team50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6025150.2%126 W · 125 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team61c118.04$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.722,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Pipsqueak+424c114.06$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.243622.2%8 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a0b…f954backed Pipsqueak+429c107.17$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Pipsqueak+427c107$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9944645.7%204 W · 242 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Pipsqueak+452c105$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.615250%76 W · 76 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked Pipsqueak+450c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.58056.3%45 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked L1ga Team54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4642145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed L1ga Team53c98.73$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.436054.4%196 W · 164 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed L1ga Team51c97.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.915334%18 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed L1ga Team46c85.54$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.194748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebe9…19a6backed Pipsqueak+424c85.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2818…04a2backed Pipsqueak+449c81.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403964.1%25 W · 14 L+0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72a9…5225backed Pipsqueak+421c79$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5930%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb69f…d51cbacked L1ga Team32c77.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.213964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Pipsqueak+436c72.13$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.211,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x4cdb…9d70backed Pipsqueak+439c70.13$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd425…603ebacked L1ga Team74c68.96$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.052958.6%17 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Pipsqueak+447c64.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+75.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ba6…2a7ebacked Pipsqueak+448c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.61050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3091…748dbacked Pipsqueak+435c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.818923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.7wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52aa…fe01backed L1ga Team51c58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedce…412ebacked Pipsqueak+422c57.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.614719.1%9 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-53.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06d9…7cfbbacked L1ga Team71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3420151.2%103 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Pipsqueak+442c54.19$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.681,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked L1ga Team51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.023253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Pipsqueak+453c48.6$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5922945.9%105 W · 124 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf58…711fbacked L1ga Team50c48.2$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed L1ga Team53c44.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213450%17 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff93…91bfbacked L1ga Team55c43.34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.51080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked Pipsqueak+452c42.57$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.982665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe00d…4251backed L1ga Team73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.12142.9%9 W · 12 L-4.9wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-39.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked L1ga Team51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.61650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed L1ga Team51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.677941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0caa…b2bdbacked L1ga Team49c39.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2514762.6%92 W · 55 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a35…6fe0backed L1ga Team46c39.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.64854.2%26 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5bb4…692abacked Pipsqueak+450c39.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d6b…591abacked Pipsqueak+429c38.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.291080%8 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+51.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeaae…ec88backed L1ga Team52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4617146.8%80 W · 91 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95cc…3533backed L1ga Team69c36.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.054667.4%31 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed L1ga Team52c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.826050.4%131 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed L1ga Team50c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.550247.6%239 W · 263 L+31.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c5f…8eadbacked L1ga Team53c33.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9612655.6%70 W · 56 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed L1ga Team45c33.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.497149.3%35 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.