Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Colorado State Rams vs. San Jose State Spartans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x191f6868b19a249bea3492eb58d072ef4a6482eb2a921e43cba2d434cdc9ae71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado State Ramsof Colorado State Rams, San Jose State Spartans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked San Jose State Spartans | 16c | 3,003$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.51 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked San Jose State Spartans | 16c | 2,326$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.35 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed San Jose State Spartans | 2c | 1,883$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed San Jose State Spartans | 24c | 1,670$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.89 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked San Jose State Spartans | 24c | 1,399$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.67 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked San Jose State Spartans | 26c | 1,162$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.92 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Colorado State Rams | 77c | 1,031$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.18 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked San Jose State Spartans | 17c | 1,010$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.67 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado State Rams | 77c | 964.68$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.87 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed San Jose State Spartans | 12c | 845.96$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.61 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed San Jose State Spartans | 20c | 808.32$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.93 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed San Jose State Spartans | 16c | 727.1$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.02 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Colorado State Rams | 80c | 720.03$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.3 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Colorado State Rams | 76c | 477.53$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.61 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed San Jose State Spartans | 23c | 410.04$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.98 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Colorado State Rams | 76c | 397.45$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.39 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Colorado State Rams | 76c | 394.72$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.73 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed San Jose State Spartans | 16c | 323.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Colorado State Rams | 77c | 318.67$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.26 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed San Jose State Spartans | 16c | 217.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed San Jose State Spartans | 23c | 184.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c4…f4cbbacked Colorado State Rams | 77c | 177.54$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 165.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed San Jose State Spartans | 31c | 140.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 140 | 27.1%38 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Colorado State Rams | 73c | 140.19$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Colorado State Rams | 71c | 139.83$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Colorado State Rams | 77c | 129.07$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Colorado State Rams | 77c | 125.09$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Jose State Spartans | 25c | 99.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed San Jose State Spartans | 23c | 94.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed San Jose State Spartans | 18c | 89.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed San Jose State Spartans | 16c | 84.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed San Jose State Spartans | 24c | 82.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed San Jose State Spartans | 19c | 69.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…a590backed San Jose State Spartans | 16c | 63.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 44cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked San Jose State Spartans | 24c | 49.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Colorado State Rams | 76c | 48.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Colorado State Rams | 77c | 38.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Colorado State Rams | 77c | 32.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Colorado State Rams | 77c | 31.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.