Tennis · resolved market
Vicenza: Lukas Neumayer vs Tristan Boyer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1aafe139e7f3f9281ab1410d5e8ccc3ebecb2268fe086438db8368f2e656adad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lukas Neumayerof Lukas Neumayer, Tristan Boyer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tristan Boyer | 9c | 5,121$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.54 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Tristan Boyer | 6c | 2,417$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lukas Neumayer | 80c | 1,231$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.52 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tristan Boyer | 10c | 1,198$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.32 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Tristan Boyer | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Tristan Boyer | 3c | 933.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Lukas Neumayer | 70c | 862.79$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.26 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Tristan Boyer | 14c | 830.51$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.74 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Tristan Boyer | 30c | 651.86$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.56 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…0cafbacked Tristan Boyer | 5c | 595.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Tristan Boyer | 5c | 528.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…df4bbacked Lukas Neumayer | 67c | 361.79$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.39 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…6a46backed Tristan Boyer | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 10.9%20 W · 164 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Lukas Neumayer | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tristan Boyer | 9c | 291.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Tristan Boyer | 20c | 280$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Lukas Neumayer | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Tristan Boyer | 20c | 217$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…55a3backed Tristan Boyer | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Lukas Neumayer | 72c | 198.09$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Tristan Boyer | 32c | 183.74$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Tristan Boyer | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 517 | 44.7%231 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Tristan Boyer | 26c | 146.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Lukas Neumayer | 68c | 144.93$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Lukas Neumayer | 80c | 110.38$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lukas Neumayer | 70c | 108.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Tristan Boyer | 32c | 107.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Tristan Boyer | 30c | 106.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Lukas Neumayer | 69c | 91.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e5…1c91backed Tristan Boyer | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Lukas Neumayer | 72c | 89.25$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lukas Neumayer | 72c | 82.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Lukas Neumayer | 70c | 64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Tristan Boyer | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Tristan Boyer | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175e…8e46backed Lukas Neumayer | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Tristan Boyer | 31c | 43.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Tristan Boyer | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tristan Boyer | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Lukas Neumayer | 70c | 28.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Lukas Neumayer | 74c | 26.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 194 | 74.7%145 W · 49 L | +34.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Lukas Neumayer | 70c | 26.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Lukas Neumayer | 70c | 15.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503f…f568backed Lukas Neumayer | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.