Serie A · resolved market
Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b1e019ca6b9503920f927f31c78a87f5afd4560001d86bce6a7ca50480c8d99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe020…f39bbacked Over | 71c | 2,814$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…2bcabacked Under | 36c | 2,612$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 15c | 1,762$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.53 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed Under | 29c | 1,424$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.07 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 64c | 1,173$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.32 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 64c | 1,049$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.77 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 71c | 889.2$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.87 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 28c | 556.75$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.86 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 29c | 501.48$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.4 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 71c | 469.19$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.06 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 64c | 281.74$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Under | 37c | 202.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 30c | 138$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e8…2f67backed Over | 69c | 36.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 63c | 35.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 71c | 29.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 71c | 28.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-1.5)Como 1907 won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)Como 1907 won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: Como 1907 O/U 1.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 0.5Over won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.