TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,000
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,029

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,000 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Over46c15,568$7,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,161.3232650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c11,852$6,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,472.942,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over49c6,637$3,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,268.8634239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under48c6,605$3,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,405.9430828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,600$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3007358.9%43 W · 30 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe020…f39bbacked Over44c4,223$1,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,867.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-42%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c2,996$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.51,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under54c2,962$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.526659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under60c2,505$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.592536%9 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under54c2,002$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92168750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x78e3…2bcabacked Under63c1,814$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.23650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51b3…3989backed Under55c1,800$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over37c1,731$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.0949850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d5a…c59ebacked Over54c1,597$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under54c1,279$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.7798544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over32c1,099$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.0539740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46032854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46039354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under54c880.11$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.4141954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under59c848.95$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.953948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over46c786.2$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.4110940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under54c721.2$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.755158.8%30 W · 21 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+31.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf397…f3c8backed Over64c703.13$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over44c563.84$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.092842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdeda…8e35backed Over46c504.33$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.991040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Over36c409.25$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.33944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under38c394.74$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.745166.7%34 W · 17 L+8.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+42.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3b5c…e3c2backed Under39c379.77$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.66650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+57.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over44c327.7$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1923345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over39c303.02$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.823655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under54c294.92$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.6719042.6%81 W · 109 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under53c217.75$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7151139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Under54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928552.9%45 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over36c198.51$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.243545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under74c195.49$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9512350.4%62 W · 61 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over36c188.27$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.316155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under52c183$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.482025%5 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-48.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over41c163.36$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4322545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over65c163.18$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6114351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over51c140$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under53c137.62$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.378958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over31c115.58$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3818125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c20…2256backed Under55c110$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over14c109.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.744940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over44c108.18$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.552770.4%19 W · 8 L+5.5wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+42.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa3fe…aac5backed Over45c99.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Under34c97$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.121060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x45bb…4927backed Over42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-66.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over47c95.23$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.765843.1%25 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under55c92.35$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.561947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under54c88$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.235339.6%21 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over42c88$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9634553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5d…df19backed Under43c81.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3440…6748backed Over42c80.95$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Under70c78.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.771758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over58c71$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1218055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under52c70.56$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.742634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.62744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under50c58.67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1891043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Under35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.141330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+67.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over57c55$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.354553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under47c54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.87045.7%32 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over54c50.72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.326544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfd1…2647backed Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Under52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299045.6%41 W · 49 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over60c46.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2131958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Over53c46.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.661136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7285…3273backed Under54c45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+59.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15ee…81b5backed Under60c41.36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.364100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under55c39.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.782842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under55c38.23$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3311260.7%68 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Under55c38.22$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.32166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over45c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.326040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over48c32.74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.83557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under57c30.28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0241854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe707…e0cfbacked Under55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.271942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under52c26.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.432231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-45.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Under54c21.89$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.07450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1416340.5%66 W · 97 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under61c18.09$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.14475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.