Serie A · resolved market
Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb643da71f993d6ced6252ab36820f89247c02c7d4f9116b3794570c12bbbe04b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8853…c058backed Yes | 40c | 10,000$3,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,015.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 60c | 8,720$5,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,487.93 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 50c | 6,223$3,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,127.83 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 5,394$3,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,234.09 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 58c | 3,205$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.23 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 51c | 2,100$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 50c | 1,513$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.73 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 1,402$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.2 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 1,356$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.8 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 51c | 1,052$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.66 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 50c | 987.77$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.88 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 913.06$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.53 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 47c | 434.84$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.62 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 42c | 349$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.11 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 50c | 304.47$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.24 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Yes | 68c | 271.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 47c | 258$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.74 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d5…5678backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 52c | 198$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.56 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 52c | 198$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.56 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 70c | 119.29$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 51c | 119$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed No | 60c | 100.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae19…9d13backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked No | 18c | 99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 61c | 94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 52c | 93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 48c | 90.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Yes | 60c | 82.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.29per pick | 63cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 60c | 80.32$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Yes | 47c | 71.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +147.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1d…2dd6backed Yes | 49c | 69$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +126.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 51c | 67.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 56c | 62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 51c | 60.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 51c | 45.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a89…eddabacked No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 60c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7abb…46f9backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbafd…cbeebacked Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…cbe8backed Yes | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed No | 51c | 20.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 52c | 20.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-1.5)Como 1907 won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)Como 1907 won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: Como 1907 O/U 1.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 0.5Over won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5Over won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.