TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,679
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,322

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,679 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x325f…4511backed Over6c4,473$271 inLost-$270.739740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under68c733.87$500 inWon+$233.4751139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over32c616$197 inLost-$197.127763.6%49 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under77c560.75$431 inWon+$129.5830828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Under75c400$300 inWon+$1003100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe398…4ce5backed Under79c357.68$283 inWon+$75.111392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick72cpaid+28.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over25c332.97$83 inLost-$83.2423345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over24c206.23$50 inLost-$50.2341954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under75c200$150 inWon+$5022237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over23c176$40 inLost-$40.489045.6%41 W · 49 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under76c110$83 inWon+$26.77552%39 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over22c88.88$20 inLost-$19.8522545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Over29c69.03$20 inLost-$20.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Under74c67.57$50 inWon+$17.57475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c0…cbe8backed Over24c63$15 inLost-$15.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick37cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Over32c60.46$19 inLost-$19.35862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under78c60$47 inWon+$13.256155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over25c60$15 inLost-$152744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under78c60$47 inWon+$13.353545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…81b5backed Under78c57.37$45 inWon+$12.374100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over33c57.1$19 inLost-$18.8431958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under67c50.1$34 inWon+$16.5331738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Over32c46.88$15 inLost-$15812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under80c30$24 inWon+$66544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under76c18$14 inWon+$4.3265254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under77c15$11 inWon+$3.514553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.