Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e11cb7814815858ab1d1e058e3a5a157c7c9a19f1e305f5aeb2dc324b726ec1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Udinese Calcioof Como 1907, Udinese Calcio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Como 1907 | 29c | 3,298$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.62 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Como 1907 | 7c | 2,544$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.66 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Udinese Calcio | 70c | 2,238$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Udinese Calcio | 70c | 1,200$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Udinese Calcio | 71c | 1,000$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Udinese Calcio | 72c | 999.97$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Como 1907 | 28c | 824.13$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.86 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Udinese Calcio | 70c | 652.27$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.68 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Udinese Calcio | 73c | 599.98$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.99 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Udinese Calcio | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Udinese Calcio | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Como 1907 | 7c | 333$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Como 1907 | 4c | 298.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Como 1907 | 5c | 230.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Udinese Calcio | 71c | 155.78$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Como 1907 | 7c | 142.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Udinese Calcio | 70c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Como 1907 | 30c | 35.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Udinese Calcio | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Udinese Calcio | 71c | 23.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Udinese Calcio | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-1.5)Como 1907 won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)Como 1907 won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: Como 1907 O/U 1.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 0.5Over won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5Over won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.