CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs WBT - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c577c672927e9542045f1c5508fed9221f00c7e3f0b87dd0ec474c8a6feb663
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof MOUZ NXT, WBT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked WBT | 55c | 4,133$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.81 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed MOUZ NXT | 63c | 1,867$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.02 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MOUZ NXT | 51c | 537.93$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.48 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…ecc5backed WBT | 39c | 435.8$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.38 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked WBT | 54c | 393.1$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.69 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed MOUZ NXT | 23c | 371.28$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.7 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked MOUZ NXT | 73c | 289.01$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.12 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed WBT | 33c | 288.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.01 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked WBT | 30c | 285.37$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed WBT | 47c | 279.56$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked MOUZ NXT | 50c | 246.64$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.67 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MOUZ NXT | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked MOUZ NXT | 65c | 172.5$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed MOUZ NXT | 50c | 171$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.36 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed WBT | 47c | 162$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.93 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked WBT | 28c | 152.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed WBT | 42c | 128.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 141 | 39.7%56 W · 85 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed WBT | 53c | 121.25$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked WBT | 49c | 100.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked MOUZ NXT | 69c | 99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed MOUZ NXT | 42c | 98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.68 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked WBT | 35c | 96.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT | 57c | 96.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed MOUZ NXT | 48c | 93.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed WBT | 54c | 92.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 35.8%68 W · 122 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed WBT | 54c | 65.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed MOUZ NXT | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed MOUZ NXT | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed WBT | 31c | 57.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed MOUZ NXT | 43c | 57.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked MOUZ NXT | 62c | 57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked WBT | 78c | 56.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…472ebacked WBT | 29c | 56.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked MOUZ NXT | 39c | 55.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked MOUZ NXT | 67c | 51.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked WBT | 65c | 46.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked MOUZ NXT | 28c | 46.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed WBT | 54c | 45.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked WBT | 50c | 45.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed WBT | 29c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed WBT | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed MOUZ NXT | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed MOUZ NXT | 45c | 32.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba2c…fddabacked MOUZ NXT | 47c | 31.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0010…c3a8backed MOUZ NXT | 75c | 23.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 316 | 73.7%233 W · 83 L | +23.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed WBT | 66c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked MOUZ NXT | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs WBT - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs WBT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group DWBT won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs WBT - Map 2 WinnerWBT won
- Map Handicap: WBT (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5)MOUZ NXT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.